The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March has decreased to 11.9%, while the probability of holding rates steady has increased to 88.1%.

GateNewsBot

2026-01-28 20:26:19

ChainCatcher News, according to Jinshi, CME “Federal Reserve Watch” shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 11.9% (before the meeting was 15.5%), the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 88.1% (before the meeting was 84.2%), and the probability of a total cut of 50 basis points is 0.1% (before the meeting was 0.4%). By April, the probability of a total cut of 25 basis points is 24.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 73.5%, and the probability of a total cut of 50 basis points is 2%.

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