January 29 News, Wintermute Ventures in its latest outlook pointed out that as the industry approaches a scale of $3 trillion, cryptocurrencies are transforming from speculative tools into the financial transaction layer of the internet, and will profoundly change the way value flows globally before 2026. The organization believes that over the past few decades, information has been freely disseminated, but capital has been restricted by borders, institutions, and intermediaries, while blockchain is breaking down these structural barriers.
Wintermute states that crypto networks are becoming the clearing and settlement layer needed for the internet economy. A permissionless, sustainably operated, and highly transparent system is taking shape and being deployed and used at scale.
First is “everything can be traded.” In the future, not only assets themselves can be priced, but results, events, and even data can form markets. For example, prediction markets will turn previously unmeasurable outcomes into tradable instruments, and insurance will shift from broad, all-encompassing products to more refined risk hedging models, such as weather risks at specific times and places.
Second is that stablecoins will become the default settlement tool. Wintermute believes that the market urgently needs an interoperability layer that can aggregate multiple types of stablecoins, acting as an “on-chain proxy bank,” transferring credit and conversion risks to issuers, enabling cross-border settlements to be completed within seconds.
Third is the cooling of speculative hype. Token valuations will rely more on sustainable cash flows rather than short-term narratives. Projects lacking real applications and revenue pathways will find it difficult to sustain demand long-term. More teams will initially adopt equity structures and only introduce tokens once their business models mature.
Fourth is the integration of DeFi and FinTech. Trading will dynamically route between on-chain and traditional systems based on cost and efficiency, providing a user experience closer to existing financial applications, with blockchain technology fully abstracted in the background.
Finally, regulatory environments will be simplified. New frameworks in Europe, the US, and Asia provide clear pathways for institutions to replace traditional underlying systems with on-chain channels. Wintermute believes that the key is no longer whether to adopt blockchain, but how to leverage it to achieve more efficient global settlement.