BTC drops below 77,000 USDT

Bitwise: Bitcoin investors need to hold for at least 3 years to avoid losses, with nearly a 50% chance of loss from short-term trading

Analysis by Bitwise Asset Management shows that holding Bitcoin for at least three years reduces the probability of loss to 0.70%, and five years lowers it further to 0.2%. In comparison, investors holding for less than three years face a higher risk of loss. The current Bitcoin price is around $65,000, but investors holding for three to five years still have a 90% unrealized profit.

Bitcoin Did Not Crash Because of Jane Street, Galaxy Research Says - U.Today

Alex Thorn from Galaxy Research dismissed claims that Jane Street caused Bitcoin's price crash, labeling such theories as "Twitter cope." He argued that negativity from Wall Street about Bitcoin is misguided but real, emphasizing the lack of incentive for Jane Street to suppress prices.

Ethereum's first-quarter return is currently -32.17%, and Bitcoin's is -23.21%.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to Coinglass data, Bitcoin's first quarter 2026 return is currently at -23.21%, marking the third-lowest quarterly return since 2013, well below the historical first quarter average return of 45.90%. Additionally, Ethereum's first quarter 2026 return is currently at -32.17%, the third-lowest record since 2016, far below the historical first quarter average return of 66.45% and the median return of 4.37%.

Bitcoin on-chain NFT transactions sharply contracted, with February sales dropping below $25 million, marking the lowest record since March 2023.

In February 2026, Bitcoin on-chain NFT sales amounted to approximately $24.44 million, setting the lowest monthly record, with a trading volume of 50,854 transactions; meanwhile, Ethereum on-chain NFT sales rebounded to over $200 million, reaching a new monthly high, with a trading volume of 152,632 transactions.

Whale "pension-usdt.eth" Closes BTC Long Position with $466K Profit

Gate News bot message, Whale "pension-usdt.eth" has closed his $BTC long position, securing a floating profit of $466K. Previously, after Israel's attack on Iran triggered a sharp market drop, the whale had opened a $BTC (3x) long position of 1,000 $BTC and was facing a floating loss exceeding $3.3M

Bitwise Backtesting: The probability of Bitcoin holding for 3 years resulting in a loss is only 0.7%, short-term trading carries high risk

According to Bitwise's historical data analysis, the probability of holding Bitcoin for more than three years resulting in a loss is only 0.7%, and zero for ten years. In contrast, the loss risk for short-term trading is as high as 47%. The data shows that long-term holding can effectively reduce the risk of losses, emphasizing the importance of time in investing. Investors should focus on holding duration rather than short-term fluctuations.