ChainCatcher reports that Tom Lee’s Fundstrat digital asset strategy chief Sean Farrell has issued the latest Ethereum analysis. Currently, the average cost basis for ETH is $2,241, while the current price is $1,934, resulting in an average investor loss of 22%. Comparing the current decline to historical lows, investors in 2022 experienced an average maximum loss of 39%, and in 2025, an average maximum loss of 21%. Applying these two figures to the current average cost basis of $2,241 suggests that ETH could potentially bottom out at $1,367 or $1,770.
Based on realized loss percentile analysis since 2017, the future returns indicate that the current average loss is at the 9th percentile of the highest historical levels, representing a relatively high loss level. The implied 12-month return is +81%. This suggests that Ethereum’s price is approaching a bottom. In the long term, the risk/reward ratio for Ethereum appears to be positive. Tom Lee himself reposted this analysis, stating that it helps to consider investor capital flows and position allocation near lows.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
"Maqi" increased their position by 150 ETH long contracts
BlockBeats News, March 5th, according to Hyperinsight monitoring, "Brother Ma Ji" Huang Licheng increased his long position by 150 ETH (worth $316,290)). The total current position value is $14,561,890, with a liquidation price of $2,036. The current profit and loss for this contract position is $240,897.
GateNews3m ago
ETH drops below 2100 USDT
Gate News bot message, Gate market display, ETH drops below 2100 USDT, current price 2099.9 USDT.
CryptoRadar40m ago
Whale 0x8f01 Converts 650 ETH to 1.88M ASTER in $1.4M Transaction
Gate News bot message, Whale address 0x8f01 sold 650 ETH worth $1.4 million 14 hours ago and subsequently purchased 1.88 million ASTER tokens valued at $1.4 million. The whale currently holds 4.45 million ASTER tokens with a total value of $3.18 million.
GateNews1h ago
Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Approaching $2200, Bulls Targeting the Key Resistance at $2400
Ethereum (ETH) price recently surged to $2,192, hitting a four-week high, driven by Bitcoin and positive developments in US-Iran negotiations. Short positions in the derivatives market have surged in liquidations, while long positions remain active, with significant institutional capital inflows. Technical analysis indicates that Ethereum may break through the $2,200 psychological resistance, with a target of $2,400, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
GateNews1h ago
Cryptocurrency holder suffers $24 million violent robbery, offers a 10% bounty to recover stolen funds
A cryptocurrency holder reported being attacked on social media, losing approximately $24 million worth of crypto assets. The attacker used violence to threaten and force the transfer of funds. The incident has garnered widespread attention, and blockchain security companies are tracking the stolen funds. This event highlights the rising risk of physical attacks in the crypto space.
GateNews1h ago
