NYDIG Research Director Greg Cipolaro pointed out that the “investable universe” of cryptocurrencies is shrinking, with only Bitcoin, tokenized assets, stablecoins, and a few DeFi infrastructures remaining as truly long-term valuable use cases. Projects that were heavily hyped in gaming, communities, and the metaverse have almost completely failed, with funds rapidly consolidating into a few winners.
(Background: Past 12 Years of Bitcoin Market Share Overview: Unexpected Turning Points)
(Additional context: Altcoins lose $234 billion in market cap over two weeks — “the worst in history” Glassnode: Already in a bear market)
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NYDIG research head Greg Cipolaro stated in a recent report that as the crypto industry matures, its “investable universe” is clearly contracting. He believes that the crypto use cases capable of attracting large-scale capital have been reduced to just a few areas.
Cipolaro listed the current crypto applications still attractive for investment: Bitcoin, tokenized assets, stablecoins, select DeFi infrastructure, and a few general-purpose blockchains like Ethereum.
He straightforwardly said:
“The likelihood of large-scale blockchain applications materializing seems much lower than previously expected.”
The report pointed out that many previously promising sectors — including blockchain gaming, social networks, and metaverse projects — have underperformed compared to centralized alternatives.
Cipolaro explained that for most enterprise and consumer applications, centralized systems are “always faster, cheaper, and more efficient to operate.” The core advantages of blockchain — trustlessness and censorship resistance — are better suited for “currency and financial applications,” while most real-world use cases do not require permissionless, immutable ledgers.
As the speculative craze around altcoins wanes and “the emergence of durable new narratives is very limited,” Bitcoin’s share in crypto investments continues to rise. Cipolaro believes that capital is consolidating into a few categories, signaling market maturity.
However, the report also notes this is a double-edged sword: while a shrinking landscape helps clarify who the true industry leaders are and strengthens core assets, it also means the total addressable market (TAM) and speculative breadth may be much smaller than early expectations. In other words, the industry’s size might not be as large as everyone thought.
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