BTC 15-minute slight decline of 0.61%: On-chain large transfers and ETF fund inflows slow down, jointly leading to a pullback

Between 16:30 and 16:45 (UTC) on February 26, 2026, the BTC spot market experienced a -0.61% return, with prices fluctuating between 66,912.7 and 67,455.0 USDT, a volatility of 0.80%. During this period, market attention increased, and high-frequency fluctuations triggered short-term investor caution. Liquidity was sufficient, but volatility intensified.

The main driver of this movement was large on-chain fund transfers to exchanges, raising concerns about selling pressure. Meanwhile, ETF capital inflows slowed, reducing spot buying capacity and accelerating downward momentum in a short period. Additionally, some long positions in perpetual contracts triggered stop-loss and liquidation orders, causing a downward resonance in the spot market. Decentralized exchanges (DEX) saw increased liquidity but uneven order book depth, while centralized exchanges (CEX) saw weakened buy support, leading to increased slippage during large sell orders.

Furthermore, on-chain data showed high levels of active addresses and transaction volumes during the fluctuation window, with some institutions and large holders adjusting their positions. ETF holdings reached 1.325 million BTC, accounting for 6.65% of the total supply, indicating structural liquidity migration and increased market sensitivity. Although unconfirmed, rumors of policy developments in Asia caused market sentiment to fluctuate, amplifying short-term volatility.

Short-term movement risks remain high. Key factors to monitor include large on-chain transfers, net ETF capital flows, changes in perpetual contract positions, and overall market liquidity. The critical support level is at 66,912.7 USDT. If on-chain fund flows continue to favor exchanges, short-term correction pressures may persist. Users are advised to closely follow real-time data to prevent stop-loss triggers and extreme market risks. For more updates, please stay tuned.