Wall Street Crash Incoming? Analyst Predicts XRP and Crypto Selloff If War Erupts

The renewed conflict in the Middle East has already started weighing on risk assets, and crypto is no exception.

The XRP price is currently trading around $1.35, down roughly 3.5% on the day, as broader market uncertainty keeps pressure on digital assets. Bitcoin and altcoins have also turned volatile as investors digest headlines surrounding U.S.–Iran tensions.

Within the XRP community, reactions have been split between short-term risk warnings and long-term structural conviction.

One of the more cautious takes came from Vincent, a well-known and generally bullish voice within the XRP community over the past few years.

In a recent post, he warned:

“As I had stated, XRP and multiple tokens will plummet once USA attacks Iran. Markets have not fully realized these speculative losses yet.
Wall St will likely open sharply lower, causing cascading losses, leveraged long liquidations and a likely further 10 to 15% downturn.
This is my own commentary and opinion. I have been known to be wrong, but I am just offering my take and how I change my risk position in such a market.”

Vincent’s argument is rooted in market structure, not emotion.

His view is that crypto has not fully priced in a broader geopolitical shock. If U.S. markets open sharply lower, equities could drag crypto down with them. Leveraged long positions — especially in altcoins — are vulnerable in this type of environment. When forced liquidations begin, price drops accelerate quickly.

A 10–15% move in crypto during heightened geopolitical stress is not extreme by historical standards. XRP, like most altcoins, tends to amplify broader risk-off flows.

While Vincent remains a long-term believer in XRP’s fundamentals, his stance indicates that macro events can override narrative strength in the short term.

On the other side of the discussion is Veran, another popular investor voice, who offered a completely different lens.

His tweet changes the focus away from price volatility:

“Most people focus on XRP’s price. That is the wrong framework.
The more important question is how does any asset evolve into a global reserve instrument?
It begins with sovereign adoption. It requires regulatory clarity, particularly through legislation such as the Clarity Act.
It ultimately culminates in institutional recognition from bodies like the International Monetary Fund.
Reserve assets are not selected by speculation or market enthusiasm. They are integrated into the financial architecture by nation-states.”

Veran’s thesis is long-term and structural.

He argues that daily price moves (even big drawdowns) are secondary to institutional positioning. In his framework, XRP’s path depends on regulatory clarity, sovereign adoption, and eventual integration into the global financial system.

The reference to legislation such as the Clarity Act points toward the importance of legal infrastructure. Without regulatory certainty, sovereign adoption becomes difficult. Without sovereign adoption, reserve status is unrealistic.

In simple terms, Vincent is focused on immediate downside risk. Veran is focused on systemic evolution.

Both perspectives can coexist.

Short-term geopolitical escalation can trigger forced liquidations and sharp selloffs. At the same time, long-term narratives about regulatory clarity and institutional integration continue developing in the background.

Right now, markets are trading the news.

If tensions escalate further, Vincent’s 10–15% downside scenario becomes plausible, especially if equities open under heavy pressure. If risk appetite stabilizes and regulatory developments move forward, Veran’s structural argument remains intact.

For XRP holders, the tension between macro shock and long-term adoption is playing out in real time.

And at $1.35, the market is still deciding which narrative will dominate next.

Read also: Crypto Social Media Explodes With World War 3 Fears as Israel–Iran Conflict Escalates