Gate News message: On April 12, crypto analyst Murphy posted on the X platform, saying that the difficulty of short-term Bitcoin trading is extremely high right now, and for most investors, sticking to DCA for the next 6 months may be a better strategy, with a win rate close to “100%.” He emphasized that investing and trading should be strictly distinguished. Murphy revealed that in the past two months, he only made 4 trades: 3 were profitable and 1 was a loss. His latest trade involved building positions in batches between $71,500 and $73,000, with an average cost of $72,300, using 5x leverage; amid market volatility, it hit the stop loss and he exited. Murphy stressed that avoiding “holding a loser” and complacent luck is crucial, otherwise it can easily lead to a risk pattern of small gains and large losses. He said decisions should be guided primarily by the trend on larger timeframes; short-term trading requires strict discipline, and the core of analysis is to serve the trades—not emotional, back-and-forth guessing.
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