Next week's key timeline for global central bank actions and political-economic trends: Bank of Japan interest rate decision becomes the focus

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Next week, the market will迎来 a series of major macroeconomic events. The most anticipated is the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision, which will be announced next Friday (January 23), accompanied by a monetary policy press conference. Governor Ueda will explain the central bank’s economic outlook, and market speculation about its policy direction has been heating up.

Trump will return to the Davos Forum with a record-sized delegation, marking his first attendance in six years. He will deliver a keynote speech on “International Cooperation in the Context of Increasing Competition.” Key market focuses will include whether tariffs, Venezuela military actions, and Greenland acquisition intentions will surface. Meanwhile, the U.S. Supreme Court will also advance the review of the Federal Reserve Board member Cook case. Trump’s potential replacements and the legality of related tariffs may be revealed next week.

On the economic data front, China will release full-year GDP growth, Q4 annualized rate, and total data (Monday). The European Central Bank will publish the December monetary policy meeting minutes on Thursday. The U.S. will release a series of key indicators on Thursday and Friday, including initial jobless claims for the week ending January 17, November core PCE price index, personal expenditure monthly rate, and Q3 real GDP final estimate.

Japan will simultaneously release December core CPI year-over-year data. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index final and the U.S. one-year inflation expectation final are expected to be announced before market close on Friday. Additionally, ECB President Lagarde and BlackRock CEO Fink will participate in a dedicated discussion during the forum.

Market Holiday Reminder: U.S. markets will be closed all day on Monday (January 19) for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Japan will also observe a holiday, so investors should plan accordingly.

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