#CryptoMarketOutlook | Risk-Off Sentiment Dominates

The crypto market is currently operating under heavy macro pressure. Ongoing US–EU tariff frictions, escalating geopolitical tensions, and growing uncertainty ahead of the FOMC meeting have significantly weakened risk appetite across global markets.
The traditional protective effect of Federal Reserve liquidity injections is no longer providing strong support. Instead, capital is rotating toward conventional safe-haven assets, leaving the crypto market exposed.
📉 Liquidity Stress & ETF Slowdown
Market liquidity remains tight. BTC and ETH spot ETF inflows have slowed noticeably, with no fresh capital entering the market to absorb selling pressure. During the afternoon session, a downside break triggered long-position liquidations, leading to a cascading decline across major assets.
Crypto’s correlation with traditional risk assets has strengthened, while internal market support remains insufficient. In the short term, price action is being driven more by macro sentiment and BTC’s directional rhythm than by crypto-specific fundamentals.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
BTC Support: 90,000 – 90,636
If broken with volume → potential test of 89,000 – 88,000
ETH Support: 3,050 – 3,083
Breakdown may lead toward the 3,000 psychological level
BTC Resistance: 91,500 – 92,000
ETH Resistance: 3,100 – 3,120
Without strong volume confirmation, any rebound is likely to be corrective and vulnerable to renewed selling.
⚠️ Market Strategy
The broader structure remains weak and difficult to reverse in the near term. While long-term industry fundamentals are intact, they are currently unable to counter macro-driven downside pressure.
Risk management is critical:
Control position size
Avoid aggressive bottom-fishing
Be cautious of secondary declines after support breaks
A wait-and-see approach remains the most prudent strategy
📌 In the short term, macro signals matter more than narratives.