2026-01-20 13:25:30

Recently, BTC has returned to the position of the structural center. The strategy of the big players is clear: don't chase highs, buy on dips. But there's a detail worth noting—some whales are pouring funds into exchanges, which could indicate a risk of selling pressure.

From the current technical perspective, 90,000 is a key psychological defense line for BTC, and 3,000 is the level ETH needs to hold. During the high-level oscillation phase, my advice is to patiently stay out of the market and wait for the right moment.

**Technical Breakdown:**

For BTC, 94,000 is a short-term resistance. If it can break through 94,800 with volume, a new upward trend will be established, targeting 98,000. But if it moves downward, 90,000 is a psychological threshold, with strong support at 88,000. Going lower, the next line of life is at 85,000. If it breaks below 85,000, it could directly drop to around 78,000.

ETH is interesting. On-chain activity has hit a record high, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate is stuck around 0.034, in the bottom zone, with a quite favorable risk-reward ratio, indicating a possible rebound. The key levels to hold are 3,000 and 2,850 supports.

**Data Perspective Logic:**

Over the past 24 hours, retail investors' bottom-fishing sentiment is really FOMO. BTC has inflowed over 200 million USD, large investors have also entered with about 100 million USD, but the main force has flowed out over 500 million USD—this gap is very noticeable, and it’s clear that the whales are hunting retail investor sentiment.

**What are the whales doing:**

A very important signal is that about 140 million USD of profit-taking funds from BTC are shifting into ETH, which directly relates to whether ETH can catch up in the rally. Additionally, whales are slightly increasing their positions in altcoins like DOGE, LINK, and UNI, so keep an eye on their movements.

**Specific Strategies:**

For BTC, focus on the right-side entry signals in the 88,000 to 90,100 range, and try to avoid the consensus points around 90,000 to prevent being caught off guard.

For ETH, watch for opportunities around 3,100. But if BTC really drops below 85,000, ETH could potentially test the bottom again at 2,800, so reserve space for re-accumulation in advance.

BTC-1,17%

ETH-1,67%

DOGE0,03%

UNI2,56%

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MissedAirdropAgain

· 01-20 13:55

Retail investors are losing money again; the 500 million main force outflow is an unbeatable tactic.

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governance_lurker

· 01-20 13:46

The whales are harvesting the retail investors, retail FOMO rushes in while the main players are dumping, this routine is too familiar. The analysis sounds good, but I still think it's too risky to go all-in once the 85,000 level is broken. I'm optimistic about ETH's catch-up rally, just worried that BTC might suddenly crash and take down the entire market. I'm also waiting for the 88,000-90,100 range, but I feel that the consensus points are easily targeted, so it's better to be cautious. The recent whale movements are indeed interesting, with 140 million shifting to ETH, altcoins following suit and increasing positions. Hmm, I have a bit of a premonition.

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HodlTheDoor

· 01-20 13:43

The house's old trick of hunting retail investors is the same old story. I still choose to stay on the sidelines and observe. Wait, can 88,000 really hold? It feels like the main force is testing the bottom line. I'm optimistic about ETH's补涨, but it depends on BTC's reaction, which makes it uncomfortable. If you buy at 3100, you need to be mentally prepared for a secondary dip; don't get caught off guard. The main force is outflowing 500 million, while retail investors are still FOMOing. That's a bit ironic in comparison. Whales are adding positions in altcoins, so we'll just take a quick look, since there's nothing else to do. Is 85,000 a lifeline? I think we might need to try even lower levels.

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StablecoinEnjoyer

· 01-20 13:37

It's the same story again, retail FOMO buying in, while the big players have been waiting at the door all along. The main force has withdrawn 500 million. Who can withstand this move? It's better to just hold onto your coins. Can 88,000 really hold? I'm a bit doubtful. If ETH truly catches up with the rally, these few like DOGE should also rise.

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