2026-01-20 17:24:14

Looking back at the Bitcoin trend predictions over the past few months, it's been quite interesting. The initial judgment was that the cycle from November to January would be relatively weak, expecting it to touch a low of over 60,000, or at least retrace to the weekly 98 or bi-weekly 84 levels.

So what was the result? The weekly 98 actually couldn't withstand the pressure and eventually dropped to around the bi-weekly 84, where it experienced a period of low-range consolidation and bottoming. Afterwards, based on the three-day line signals, it was initially thought that a rebound to 98 could occur in early January, but in reality, it was delayed until mid-January.

After reaching the 98 level, the market began a retracement and recovery phase, with the lowest point currently at 90. According to previous ideas, February and March should be a period of accelerated upward movement, but the specific development still needs ongoing observation and validation. There are always some deviations between predictions and actual outcomes over these months, but the overall directional framework has mostly held up.

BTC-4,03%

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LayerZeroJunkie

· 8h ago

Haha, predictions are always a bit off, but as long as the framework doesn't collapse, it's fine. The overall direction is indeed on point, it's just the details that keep causing trouble. That wave at 98 really couldn't hold, I thought it would stabilize back then... Now at 90, are the second and third months really going to accelerate? I'm a bit looking forward to it.

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ExpectationFarmer

· 8h ago

This prediction deviation is still quite large; it's easy to bet on the right direction but hard to bet on the right timing. The overall direction is correct, but the timing is off by so much. It still feels a bit disappointing. Waiting again until February or March. This repeated volatility is really exhausting. Might as well go all in. From 84 to 98, going back and forth, I’m honestly confused. There are too many lines. But since the framework is still there, I’ll keep holding. Anyway, that's just how the crypto world is.

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BoredRiceBall

· 8h ago

That time at 84 was really scary, luckily there was no action, and I waited for the rebound to follow up and made quite a bit of profit. Predictions can never keep up with changes, but if the framework is correct, it will eventually turn around. Is it going to retrace back to 98 again? This wave is a bit annoying, better to wait for support below 90. As long as the framework holds, the details are mostly noise. The key is whether there will be a move in March or so. At this pace, it’s a bit frustrating; the more precise the expectation, the greater the deviation, haha.

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YieldWhisperer

· 8h ago

nah the timing calls never line up perfectly anyway, math just doesn't work like that on chain tbh

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CryptoPunster

· 8h ago

Ha, predicting a two-week delay and still daring to boast about holding the framework, I really respect that. Watching the experts debate with a smile, but in the end, they all can't escape the life-saving phrase "the overall direction is correct." Where's the predicted 60,000+? In the end, 98 didn't hold, and now they want to wait until February or March? My wallet has long since chosen forgiveness. The framework held, but where are my stop-loss orders? A predictor's life is about seeking psychological comfort within deviations. This thing is just like predicting when my wife will come home—if the overall direction is right, that's called winning. Go ahead and observe and verify; I'm going to cut some grass first to make a living.

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