Is a major adjustment in Bitcoin in 2026 really coming? Let's see what Fundstrat has to say.

Have you ever wondered what the crypto market will look like a little over a year from now? Recently, a private report from Fundstrat has caused quite a stir in the crypto community. The financial research firm’s prediction is quite bold: Bitcoin may experience a major correction in the first half of 2026, with a price range estimated between $60,000 and $65,000.

You might be thinking, this is just a numbers game. But when a serious institutional research firm makes such a judgment, it’s worth taking a moment to reflect. Especially now, as Bitcoin has already surged to $89.75K, this forecast becomes even more attention-grabbing.

Core Viewpoints of Fundstrat: Not Just About Bitcoin

According to Cointelegraph, this analysis, authored by Sean Farrell, Head of Digital Asset Strategy at Fundstrat, was not publicly released but was circulated through private channels to some institutional clients. Interestingly, their concerns are not solely about Bitcoin.

The entire report points to a bigger issue: the entire crypto market may face a systemic pullback. Based on the forecast:

• Ethereum (ETH) could fall to the $1,800-$2,000 range (current price around $3.00K)
• Solana (SOL) might bottom out at $50-$75 (current price $127.20)

This cross-asset decline expectation indicates that analysts are not seeing a problem with individual projects but rather a potential “stress test” for the entire ecosystem.

Why Take This Warning Seriously?

Institutions like Fundstrat do not speak lightly. They analyze on-chain data, technical indicators, macroeconomic cycles—all pointing to the same conclusion: after a long bullish cycle, the market needs a rest.

But here’s a key point: This is not a signal for you to sell all your assets immediately.

Instead, it’s an opportunity to reassess your investment strategy. If you hold crypto assets, now is a good time to consider these questions:

Is your asset allocation truly reasonable? Ensure your exposure to high-volatility assets matches your risk tolerance. Don’t blindly follow others just because they’re making money.

When is the right time to enter? If a correction does happen, dollar-cost averaging (DCA) might be a smarter approach—so you can stay rational despite price swings.

Are your coins truly “safe”? During potentially turbulent times, storing assets in reputable wallets will give you peace of mind.

Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana each have their strengths, but none are 100% safe bets.

How Reliable Are These Long-Term Predictions?

Honestly, crypto market forecasts are inherently probabilistic. While Fundstrat’s analysis is methodologically supported, there are many variables:

• Sudden regulatory changes
• Breakthroughs in technology that could disrupt the pace
• Shifts in the global economic landscape
• Institutional inflows exceeding expectations

So, treat this forecast as a scenario for reference, not a certainty. Its value lies in helping you prepare, not in making you anxious about “precisely timing the market.”

Staying Clear in Volatility

Those who thrive in the crypto market share one trait: they have a plan, not just intuition.

Whether or not Fundstrat’s prediction comes true, the crypto market is inherently volatile. What you need isn’t to predict every rise and fall but to build an investment framework that can withstand multiple scenarios. This includes:

• Clear investment goals and timelines
• Strict risk management (e.g., not risking more than you can afford to lose)
• Focusing on long-term factors that truly drive the industry, rather than short-term fluctuations
• Maintaining the ability to learn and adapt

FAQs

Q: Is Fundstrat’s report officially public?
A: No. The report was shared privately with some institutional clients and was disclosed through media outlets like Cointelegraph.

Q: If a correction really happens, should I sell my coins immediately?
A: Not necessarily. This is a long-term forecast, not a specific trading signal. Selling decisions should be based on your personal situation—risk tolerance, investment horizon, specific needs—not on a single forecast.

Q: How accurate are such predictions usually?
A: The further out the prediction, the lower its accuracy. The crypto market is still young, with many variables. Using forecasts for scenario planning is fine, but relying on them as “insurance” is overly naive.

Q: How can I cope with potential sharp market swings?
A: Diversify your investments, use dollar-cost averaging, ensure assets are stored securely, and set clear stop-loss and take-profit points. Basically: be disciplined, have a plan, and be patient.

Q: Who is Sean Farrell?
A: He is the Head of Digital Asset Strategy at Fundstrat Global Advisors, a research firm that gained attention in the crypto community for this forecast.

Conclusion

Fundstrat’s report serves as a reminder to the entire crypto investment community: a reasonable hypothesis is that Bitcoin could see a correction to the $60K-$65K range in the first half of 2026. But hypotheses are just that—hypotheses.

What truly matters is that, regardless of how the market moves, you maintain your own rhythm. Learn to distinguish noise from signals, stick to basic investment principles, and focus on ecosystem development rather than being driven by daily charts. Crypto investing is a marathon, not a sprint—those who finish are often not the fastest but the most steady.