TANSSI's trend makes me a bit conflicted. Looking at my model data, this coin is indeed in an extremely oversold position, but the problem is that the trading volume is almost gone, which becomes a bigger hidden risk.



First, let's talk about the data. RSI across multiple timeframes has fallen below 35, with the 1-hour and 4-hour RSI entering the top 10% of historical oversold levels. Although the MACD shows negative values, the histogram difference is only -0.00017, indicating that momentum is almost exhausted. After a 32.72% plunge within 24 hours, the 15-minute chart has shown some signs of rebound, rising by 1.47%.

From a probability perspective, the likelihood of a short-term rebound from this kind of volume-price divergence is about 65%. But there's a big problem—when trading volume is insufficient, rebounds are usually small, averaging only 3-5%, and failure rates are also not low. I recalculated the risk-reward ratio, and currently, the risk-to-reward ratio doesn't even reach 1:1, far below my entry standard.

Therefore, my conclusion is to **wait and see**. The current price is at 0.01 USDT, and I need two conditions to be met simultaneously: trading volume recovers to above 50M daily average, and the 1-hour RSI breaks through 45. Only then will I reassess whether to enter the market.

To be honest, if I have unrealized losses recently, I must strictly control my position size. Don't try to quickly recover losses on low-liquidity assets, as this often leads to pitfalls. Quantitative models are prone to failure during abnormal liquidity conditions, and the current market is exactly in this high-risk zone.
TANSSI-32,58%
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ASmallPunishmentvip
· 12h ago
Reply0
PumpDoctrinevip
· 22h ago
The rebound from insufficient volume, to be honest, is just a trap. Let's wait and see.
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GweiWatchervip
· 22h ago
The amount is too small to play at all, and a rebound is pointless.
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RektHuntervip
· 22h ago
There's no volume left and you still want a rebound? Isn't that just fooling yourself? A 64% probability sounds pretty high, but if the trading volume dies, everything is pointless. I've been fooled like that too, and in the end, the rebound wasn't even enough to cover the fees. Wait a minute, this logic has some sense. Better to miss out than get crushed. Watching and waiting is indeed the smartest choice right now.
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SigmaValidatorvip
· 22h ago
Small volume means everything is pointless; that's the real hidden risk. Wait until trading volume picks up; a 3-5% rebound is meaningless.
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FloorPriceWatchervip
· 22h ago
Small amounts are indeed a trap; what appears to be a stable signal is all false under low liquidity.
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