BTC still wants to beat gold once more, breaking historical oversold signals and ushering in a super bull market

GateUser-6433627c · 2026-01-21T02:08:12+00:00

Historically, Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold has fallen below 30 in extreme oversold conditions a total of 4 times, each accompanied by a strong rebound. After each oversold signal, Bitcoin experienced a significant rally despite the presence of a bear market. This oversold signal may indicate that Bitcoin is once again facing a rebound opportunity.

GateUser-6433627c

2026-01-21 02:08:12

Abstract generation in progress

On January 21, the historical occurrence of Bitcoin’s RSI (Relative Strength Index) relative to gold falling below 30, indicating extreme oversold conditions, has happened 4 times, in 2015, 2018, 2022, and 2025. Each time, the trend ultimately ended with a strong rebound in Bitcoin. At the end of the 2015 bear market, Bitcoin’s RSI relative to gold fell below 30, followed by a super bull market from 2016 to 2017; during the 2018 bear market, Bitcoin declined over 40% while gold rose nearly 6%. After RSI fell below 30, Bitcoin rebounded more than 770% from its 2020 lows; during the 2022 bear market, Bitcoin dropped nearly 60%. Following the RSI dropping below 30, Bitcoin’s rebound again outperformed gold; from the end of 2025 to now, this is the fourth time witnessing this historic oversold signal. Gold surged 64% in 2025, and since the beginning of this year, it has risen another 10% in 20 days, while Bitcoin’s RSI relative to gold has once again fallen into the oversold zone. For more market insights, see BlockBeats in-depth report “Why Everything Except the Crypto Circle Is Rising.”

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