#地缘政治风险 The weekend's escalation of the Venezuela situation is quite interesting——the U.S. military directly intervened, air raid sirens sounded, and normally the crypto market should have tanked. But Bitcoin just shrugged it off, briefly breaking $90,000 and then pulling back.
This incident is worth pondering. Geopolitical shocks usually slam risk assets, causing funds to flee to safe havens. But the current situation is: traditional markets are closed over the weekend, so big institutions can't react immediately, while markets like Bitcoin that operate 24/7 become "testing grounds." The real test will come when Wall Street opens on Monday—how oil prices, precious metals, and US stocks move will determine the secondary reaction in the crypto market.
From a copy-trading perspective, I've been observing the divergence between short-term aggressive traders and conservative ones these days. The aggressive traders are betting that next week will continue to break above $90,000, arguing that this political event is "behind-the-scenes manipulation" and the market has already digested it; the conservative traders are reducing positions around $90,000, reserving ammunition for Monday's resolution.
I personally lean towards the latter logic—not that being aggressive is wrong, but during macro turning points, variables like geopolitics tend to amplify market volatility, so copy traders need to adjust their risk levels. If you're following high-risk traders, be prepared for bigger swings this week; otherwise, proceed with caution.
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#地缘政治风险 The weekend's escalation of the Venezuela situation is quite interesting——the U.S. military directly intervened, air raid sirens sounded, and normally the crypto market should have tanked. But Bitcoin just shrugged it off, briefly breaking $90,000 and then pulling back.
This incident is worth pondering. Geopolitical shocks usually slam risk assets, causing funds to flee to safe havens. But the current situation is: traditional markets are closed over the weekend, so big institutions can't react immediately, while markets like Bitcoin that operate 24/7 become "testing grounds." The real test will come when Wall Street opens on Monday—how oil prices, precious metals, and US stocks move will determine the secondary reaction in the crypto market.
From a copy-trading perspective, I've been observing the divergence between short-term aggressive traders and conservative ones these days. The aggressive traders are betting that next week will continue to break above $90,000, arguing that this political event is "behind-the-scenes manipulation" and the market has already digested it; the conservative traders are reducing positions around $90,000, reserving ammunition for Monday's resolution.
I personally lean towards the latter logic—not that being aggressive is wrong, but during macro turning points, variables like geopolitics tend to amplify market volatility, so copy traders need to adjust their risk levels. If you're following high-risk traders, be prepared for bigger swings this week; otherwise, proceed with caution.
See you on Monday.