Looking at history, an interesting pattern emerges.
At the end of the 2015 bear market, Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold broke below 30, followed by the crazy rally of 2016-2017. During the 2018 bear market, the price of Bitcoin fell by over 40%, while gold actually increased by nearly 6%. But after the RSI hit bottom again, Bitcoin rebounded over 770% from its lows in 2020.
The correction in 2022 was even more intense—Bitcoin dropped nearly 60%, and after the RSI fell below 30, there was another strong rebound, once again outperforming gold.
This is the fourth time. From mid-2025 to now, this oversold signal has appeared again. Interestingly, gold rose 64% throughout 2025, while Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold has already slipped into the extreme oversold zone.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
6 Likes
Reward
6
6
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
NFTArtisanHQ
· 01-21 02:53
the RSI patterns read like a visual composition—oversold territories as negative space where value awaits redistribution. curious how gold's 64% run this year mirrors bauhaus principles of restraint, while btc's extreme positioning suggests the canvas is primed for something.
Reply0
BearMarketBuilder
· 01-21 02:52
Bro, you've played this trick four times already. When RSI breaks below 30, it's time to buy the dip, right?
View OriginalReply0
OnChainSleuth
· 01-21 02:50
Rhyming has happened four times so far. Will this be a bottom signal again? Gold rising so fiercely while Bitcoin gets beaten down feels a bit unbelievable.
View OriginalReply0
0xLostKey
· 01-21 02:43
Four times already... Is it always this accurate? Feels like it's time to get on board.
View OriginalReply0
MissingSats
· 01-21 02:34
Here we go again, this oversold signal is really quite desperate, it's perfectly rhymed.
View OriginalReply0
CodeAuditQueen
· 01-21 02:25
No matter how beautiful the historical data stacks up, it still comes down to fundamentals... Will RSI breaking below 30 definitely lead to a rebound? That's as naive as thinking that a smart contract with vulnerabilities will definitely be exploited.
Looking at history, an interesting pattern emerges.
At the end of the 2015 bear market, Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold broke below 30, followed by the crazy rally of 2016-2017. During the 2018 bear market, the price of Bitcoin fell by over 40%, while gold actually increased by nearly 6%. But after the RSI hit bottom again, Bitcoin rebounded over 770% from its lows in 2020.
The correction in 2022 was even more intense—Bitcoin dropped nearly 60%, and after the RSI fell below 30, there was another strong rebound, once again outperforming gold.
This is the fourth time. From mid-2025 to now, this oversold signal has appeared again. Interestingly, gold rose 64% throughout 2025, while Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold has already slipped into the extreme oversold zone.
History doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes.