A new technical signal worth paying attention to has emerged in the crypto circle. Recently, Bitcoin's RSI index relative to gold has fallen below 30, indicating that Bitcoin has reached an extremely oversold level in terms of relative strength.

Such extreme oversold conditions are actually rare. Looking back at historical records, this has only happened four times from 2015 to now—specifically in 2015, 2018, 2022, and the early part of 2025 just past.

Interestingly, after the oversold signals appeared the first three times, the market ultimately evolved into a strong rebound for Bitcoin relative to gold. In other words, each of these extreme divergences ended with a robust performance by Bitcoin.

Will this 2025 signal continue the historical pattern? This is a question many traders are currently pondering. After all, in the crypto market, while historical patterns are not ironclad rules, seeing the same technical pattern occur four times makes the probability and statistical significance worth serious consideration. The relative performance of Bitcoin and gold is providing new market insights.