【SOL 4H Technical Structure In-Depth Analysis | Key Support Level Battles, Structural Divergence】

Trend Qualitative and Core Observation
SOL is at a critical decision point on the 4-hour chart. The price oscillates around $127 but remains above the previous important low support level of $124.72. Although the overall structure is in a bearish trend below all cycle moving averages, it has not made new lows like mainstream coins, showing significant relative resilience. The market at this key level exhibits clear bullish and bearish disagreements and battles.

Multi-Dimensional Technical Structure Analysis

1. Moving Average System and Price Position:
· Moving averages across different cycles (MA5 to MA100) remain in a bearish alignment, forming resistance above. The short-term MA5 (~$127.35) has begun to flatten and is closely aligned with the current price, indicating a temporary slowdown in downward momentum.
· Key resistance levels are at $130.3 (MA10) and $134.9 (MA20), which are the first hurdles to break to end the current weak oscillation pattern.
2. Key Price Levels and Consolidation Range:
· Core Support: $124.72 is the recent multiple test and rebound low, forming the last technical line of defense on the current chart. Its success or failure will directly determine whether SOL enters a further decline or builds a bottom structure based on this level.
· Consolidation Center and Resistance: The current price is within a narrow oscillation range between $124.72 and $130.3. A confirmed breakout above $130.3 is needed to alleviate short-term downward pressure.
3. Momentum Indicator Signals:
· MACD: The dual lines are highly converged and flattening below the zero axis, with barely visible histogram bars, clearly indicating that bullish and bearish momentum are temporarily balanced at this level, and the market is in a preparatory state for change.
· RSI: At 25.56, in a weak zone but not yet in extreme oversold territory. Its trend, along with the potential slight bullish divergence with the price, is a sign to watch for weakening downward momentum.

Future Core Projection
The core logic for SOL currently revolves around “support validity testing.” Its relative resilience makes it an important window to observe marginal changes in market risk appetite. If the price can hold above $124.72 with moderate volume expansion, it may attract capital to attempt a structural rebound. Conversely, if this support ultimately fails, it indicates widespread pessimism spreading to high-beta assets, initiating a standard further decline, with the downward target below $120.

(SOL shows market divergence signals at the key support level. Subscribers can access “Altcoin Strength and Weakness Real-Time Monitoring” and “Support Level Capital Battle Analysis” to capture structural opportunities.)#欧美关税风波冲击市场