An interesting phenomenon has been repeatedly confirmed: when Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold drops below 30 into the extreme oversold zone, it seems to always signal a market turning point.
Looking back at historical data, such extreme situations have only occurred four times—2015, 2018, 2022, and most recently in 2025. Each time, it was not the end but rather the starting point of a rebound.
First, in late 2015 during the bear market, after RSI fell below 30, Bitcoin immediately ignited a massive bull market from 2016 to 2017. In 2018, the situation was even more dramatic: when Bitcoin plummeted over 40%, gold actually rose nearly 6%. But after RSI hit the extreme oversold level, Bitcoin rebounded more than 770% from its 2020 lows, far outperforming gold.
During the 2022 bear market, Bitcoin fell nearly 60%, while gold maintained its value. However, when RSI dropped below 30 again, Bitcoin's rebound once again surpassed that of gold.
Now, in 2025. Building on last year's 64% surge in gold, which continued with a 10% increase in the first 20 days of this year. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold has once again slipped into the extreme oversold zone. According to past patterns, what does this signal really indicate? The patterns of history often provide the answer.
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GasGrillMaster
· 13h ago
Here we go again, this kind of "history repeats itself" argument... But then again, every time the RSI drops below 30, it indeed bounces back. Coincidence?
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SolidityNewbie
· 19h ago
Historical patterns are easy to talk about but hard to believe... But this time, did the RSI really bounce back four times after breaking 30? Feels like the next time will be the moment to eat humble pie.
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NFTArchaeologis
· 19h ago
History is just so interesting—four times of extreme overselling, four times of a turnaround. The relationship between Bitcoin and gold feels like some ancient artifact auction—there's always a cycle.
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SchroedingerGas
· 19h ago
History always rhymes. Can we make a profit this time?
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WinterWarmthCat
· 19h ago
The thing about historical patterns is that there's always a day when they get proven wrong.
An interesting phenomenon has been repeatedly confirmed: when Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold drops below 30 into the extreme oversold zone, it seems to always signal a market turning point.
Looking back at historical data, such extreme situations have only occurred four times—2015, 2018, 2022, and most recently in 2025. Each time, it was not the end but rather the starting point of a rebound.
First, in late 2015 during the bear market, after RSI fell below 30, Bitcoin immediately ignited a massive bull market from 2016 to 2017. In 2018, the situation was even more dramatic: when Bitcoin plummeted over 40%, gold actually rose nearly 6%. But after RSI hit the extreme oversold level, Bitcoin rebounded more than 770% from its 2020 lows, far outperforming gold.
During the 2022 bear market, Bitcoin fell nearly 60%, while gold maintained its value. However, when RSI dropped below 30 again, Bitcoin's rebound once again surpassed that of gold.
Now, in 2025. Building on last year's 64% surge in gold, which continued with a 10% increase in the first 20 days of this year. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold has once again slipped into the extreme oversold zone. According to past patterns, what does this signal really indicate? The patterns of history often provide the answer.