Institutions are starting to envision 2026 again, and this time the focus is quite interesting—the prediction market has become the consensus among almost all major players.

According to Coinbase's report, the trading volume of prediction markets is expected to further expand, potentially reaching tens of billions of dollars weekly, with tax policy changes providing an additional boost. Traditional financial giants like BlackRock, Fidelity, and JPMorgan are also optimistic about this direction. Honestly, this is much more reliable than the ups and downs of coin prices—prediction markets essentially facilitate information liquidity, and as more institutions participate, the ecosystem becomes increasingly mature.

But the most interesting part is the ongoing debate among institutions about the four-year cycle. Some say it has completely disappeared, while others believe it is still valid. This disagreement itself indicates that market variables are numerous. Stablecoins challenging national fiat currencies, DAT 2.0 mode, meme coin ETFs exploding... these changes stacking up make the value of prediction markets even more prominent.

Looking forward to continued growth in this sector.