#预测市场交易行为 The outlook from eight leading institutions for 2026 contains a signal worth noting — the prediction market is almost unanimously optimistic.

From Coinbase explicitly stating that "prediction market trading volume will further expand," to other institutions' implicit bullish outlooks, the underlying logic is clear: traditional capital is systematically entering the crypto ecosystem, and prediction markets, as an efficient pricing mechanism, are becoming their priority track.

Considering data such as the stablecoin market cap target of $1.2 trillion and over $50 billion in net inflows into spot ETFs, the funding environment in 2026 is expected to improve significantly. Ample funds mean increased trading depth, and the liquidity issues in prediction markets are likely to ease.

However, caution is needed — the divergence among institutions regarding the four-year cycle essentially reflects uncertainty. VanEck predicts 2026 as a consolidation year, while Galaxy Digital provides a broad range, indicating that even professional institutions are trying to reduce prediction biases. In this context, the risk facing prediction markets is: hot money enters quickly and exits just as fast.

The key focus should be on capital flows — watch who is continuously building positions, rather than short-term fluctuations from chasing gains or panic selling. Incremental funds from stablecoins and ETFs are the true long-term drivers of this track.