#Polymarket预测市场内幕交易 Polymarket's recent insider trading incident is a textbook case of pump and dump. A new account precisely bet $32,500 on the downfall of Maduro, earning over $400,000 in less than 24 hours, with a return of over 1200%. This data alone makes it hard not to think suspiciously.

The key point is the timeline revealed by The Wall Street Journal—prices started rising hours before Trump's official announcement, indicating that information was leaked in advance. Now, U.S. lawmakers are pushing legislation to ban government officials and decision-makers from trading related contracts when they possess non-public information.

For us retail traders, this serves as a warning: prediction markets seem high-yield, but once political outcomes and policy directions are involved, insider information gaps are too large, making it difficult for retail investors to compete. Instead of betting on such unpredictable things, it's better to focus on new projects with solid fundamentals and clear rules, where information is symmetrical.

After regulations come into effect, platforms like Polymarket that offer political contracts will likely face restrictions, and even the logic of airdrops may be adjusted. The smarter approach is to take advantage of this period to focus on projects with strong fundamentals and low interaction costs, earning the most with minimal Gas and time. We can't eat the insider trading pie, so it's more practical to do solid basic interactions.