2026-01-21 06:21:38

Looking at the historical trend of Bitcoin, I found an interesting pattern.

Over the past 8 years, Bitcoin has experienced three obvious peaks, occurring in 2017, 2021, and 2025. A closer look reveals that the intervals between these three peaks are all 4 years. Based on this cyclical logic, the next peak should occur around 2029.

However, this analysis focuses not on the peak but on the current downward phase. The new decline cycle started in October 2025, and according to historical patterns, this adjustment cycle is expected to last about a year.

If history truly repeats itself, based on this downward cycle projection, Bitcoin's price could reach around $29,000 by October 2026. Of course, the market is always full of uncertainties, and the actual trend will depend on macroeconomic conditions, policy factors, and capital flows. But from a cyclical perspective, this data still has some reference significance.

BTC-1,52%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

9 Likes

Reward
9
4
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

SerumSqueezer

· 9h ago

29k sounds too idealistic; a macro shift could lead to a total loss History repeats itself but never exactly; this cycle theory will eventually face a crash I've seen too many predictions about 4-year cycles being proven wrong The expected bottom fell below expectations—that's the real market

View OriginalReply0

0xLuckbox

· 10h ago

4-year cycle? Sounds pretty regular, but I still have my doubts. History may repeat itself, but it definitely won't be exactly the same. There are too many variables.

View OriginalReply0

AllInAlice

· 10h ago

Is a 4-year cycle just a coincidence? I feel like it's a selective view of the data.

View OriginalReply0

MeaninglessGwei

· 10h ago

A four-year cycle? That logic is a bit too perfect, huh? I've seen too many of these pattern analyses, and they all end up being proven wrong by reality. Can that 29,000 level hold? I'm not too sure.

View OriginalReply0