#避险需求与地缘政治事件 When I saw this news, I paused for a long time. A profit of $400,000 and a 1200% return rate truly caught my eye. But upon closer examination of the entire trading process, I felt a deep sense of unease.



A new account, four trades, all betting on geopolitical events, and precisely positioned hours before the public information was released—this hidden information advantage gap is enough to alert any rational investor. The "Public Integrity Act for Financial Prediction Markets of 2026" proposed by a U.S. congressman is not unfounded; it is a warning bell for market "inequality."

This reminded me of a friend's experience. She was also attracted by high returns from a hot event, rushed into the market, but ultimately suffered losses due to information lag and judgment bias. Since then, she understood a principle: those who truly make big money in the market are often the ones who hold an information advantage. Instead of competing for such "black swan" gains, ordinary investors should focus on solid asset allocation.

My advice is to stay alert when encountering such news. Don't shake your investment rhythm because of someone else's success, and don't overestimate your ability to obtain firsthand information. True wealth accumulation relies on a long-term mindset, reasonable position management, and full respect for risk. Stories of quick profits are often the result of survivor bias—what we see are only the winners, while many losers are hidden.

Steady progress beats rushing far ahead.
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