#2026年BTC价格展望 ETH Technical Resonance + On-Chain Big Player Layout Double Signal: Why Is the Rebound Already a Done Deal?

Looking at the 1-hour K-line, many people probably feel anxious—Bollinger Bands are expanding downward, and the price is repeatedly testing around 2960, with a market filled with a pessimistic atmosphere. But I have to be honest: don’t be scared by short-term dips; the trigger for the rebound has already been ignited.

The technical details won't deceive:

**MACD Green Bars Are Narrowing, Reversal Signal Brewing Below Zero Axis**
Although DIF and DEA are still hovering below the zero axis, the green bars are clearly shortening, indicating the bearish momentum is dissipating. Looking back at ETH’s hourly historical chart, similar structures have appeared multiple times, often followed by a quick 3%-5% rebound.

**Bollinger Band Lower Band Supports, Signs of Market Defense Are Obvious**
The price is moving close to the 2930 lower band, but it hasn't broken through massively downward, indicating buying power is present. As long as it can hold above the 2983 middle band, the first clear target becomes 3035.

**Volume Has Disappeared, But Buy Orders Below Are Accumulating**
At the low point around 2950, there was a cluster of buy orders. During retail traders’ capitulation, who is continuously eating up the supply? Think about it—it's obvious.

On-Chain Signals Are Even More Interesting:

Big players are quietly increasing their holdings. According to on-chain monitoring, in the past 24 hours, 3 new addresses have transferred in a total of 42,000 ETH (worth about $125 million). These "smart money" have routines—they wouldn’t start bottom-fishing only at the bottom zone.

Exchange holdings are flowing out. The ETH reserves of a leading exchange and another top exchange both declined by 2.1%, and the turnover rate of trading pairs is rapidly increasing. This indicates that chips are flowing from retail hands into the hands of true hodlers.

Market news support cannot be ignored:

Ethereum options will be listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange this Friday, and institutional hedging demand will surge—most retail traders haven't realized this yet.

Vitalik recently mentioned in internal channels a "new idea for layer 2 scaling," which is the kind of news that easily triggers FOMO in the tech community.

My trading logic is like this: I’ve already been adding to my spot positions in the 2950-2970 range, with a stop-loss set at 2880 (if it falls below the lower band, I’ll cut losses). Short-term targets are around 3050-3100. Don’t wait to chase after the high after it’s been pushed up; markets favor those who dare to think contrarily and act accordingly.

Bears are feeling proud now, but when the rebound comes, they’ll regret it. Save this screenshot, and let’s reconvene in three days. $ETH