Once again, a bloodbath—this is probably the most direct feeling many contract traders have today. After the rapid plunge following the market’s sharp decline, the price of a popular coin almost gave back half a month’s gains, directly falling back into the dense trading zone from the previous rapid rally.



But the truly interesting part isn’t the glaring red candles and liquidation data, but the "dead silence" signals deep within the market—these details may be brewing the turning point for the next wave of行情.

**Volume-Price Divergence: Is Selling Pressure Really Near Exhaustion?**

Looking closely at this decline’s trajectory, you’ll notice several intriguing features:

It started with an almost vertical sell-off—huge trading volume, clearly showing panic and forced liquidations fleeing en masse. This is normal; everything that should happen during a sharp drop has happened.

The key is in the subsequent evolution. As the price enters a pattern of repeated small rebounds followed by further declines, trading volume shows a significant shrinkage. In simple terms, "the price keeps falling, but trading volume is getting smaller."

This phenomenon is called volume-price divergence, often indicating that the most intense selling wave may have already passed. Remaining holders are either genuinely committed for the long term or are calmly watching, no longer rushing to cut losses. Once the selling pressure is truly exhausted, a rebound isn’t far off.

**Details in Contract Data**

Just looking at price and volume isn’t enough. The open interest data in the futures market can truly reflect traders’ current sentiment.

An interesting phenomenon worth noting: despite the sharp decline in price, the long-short positions on major trading platforms haven’t shown extreme divergence. What does this mean? It indicates that the market isn’t trapped in a one-sided despair; the bulls are still holding, leaving enough momentum for a subsequent rebound.

Of course, liquidation data is indeed shocking, but this is precisely the market’s clearing process. Extreme situations often precede reversals.

**Seeing Opportunities in "Dead Silence"**

This is the current market state: prices have fallen, but the market has become "quiet." This quiet isn’t despair but buildup. Traders are waiting—for the selling pressure to truly exhaust itself, for the first bullish candle to appear.

The next move will be signaled by technical analysis. Either trading volume suddenly surges along with a rebound, marking the moment for buyers to step in; or prices continue to weaken while volume keeps shrinking, indicating that the selling ammunition is running out.

Regardless of the scenario, this "dead silence" at this point shouldn’t be interpreted as despair—on the contrary, it may be marking a turning point.
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0xInsomniavip
· 01-21 11:53
Another batch of contracts dead, as usual, comforting myself with the theory of volume-price divergence. Here we go again, when will the next rebound signal come? I'm numb. I think the selling pressure is exhausted because the holders have no money left to add positions. Bullish persistence is not because they are optimistic, but because they've lost too much from cutting losses and don't want to admit it. I'm just waiting to see when this turning point will come, hopefully not another false rebound. "Dead silence" definitely exists, but have you seen a scenario where the market continues to fall after dead silence... Contract data isn't showing extreme divergence? That's because the extremes have already exploded, and those still alive haven't even reacted yet. This analysis is the same as the pre-bloodbath rhetoric—all post-hoc rationalizations. First bullish candle of the rebound? I just want to know when this bullish candle will show up.
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NFTHoardervip
· 01-21 11:53
Bloodbath, just go ahead and bloodbath, it's not the first time anyway... I've heard too many times about the divergence between volume and price. Wait, is this really different? Has the bull market not collapsed? There's something there, I buy the logic of accumulation. But to be honest, I want to know who is bottom-fishing, rather than waiting for some volume-price signals. The saying that "dead silence is an opportunity" is just talk, the key is how it will develop afterwards. Volume-price divergence... this term is used very smoothly, it feels like a repeat, just storytelling again. I just want to know where the bottom is, don’t tell me about accumulation. This analysis looks very professional, but honestly, the coins in my hands are still falling, what should I do? The first bullish candle of the rebound? Let’s talk after it rises to a level where I can cut my losses. Right now, I still feel embarrassed to talk about a turning point.
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InfraVibesvip
· 01-21 11:48
It's the same old argument about volume-price divergence. It sounds reasonable, but it gets proven wrong every time. Last year, it was the same story. And the result? It all depends on the moment when trading volume surges. Just talking without action is useless. Bullish supporters? Ha, once the liquidation data comes out, you'll see what steadfastness really looks like. I've heard this kind of "building momentum" too many times. Next time, just go all in directly.
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OnchainGossipervip
· 01-21 11:43
The theory of divergence between volume and price has been heard too many times. Every time, it’s said that the rebound won’t be far, but it keeps crashing... Is this really the end or just another routine It’s back to the "building momentum" stage. I bet five bucks that next week will continue to hit new lows Dead silence? I think no one dares to move, everyone is waiting to see who jumps into the pit first The liquidation data is terrifying. What does it mean that the bulls are still holding on desperately... Those who are making money have already run away Watching volume shrink and price fall makes me think of the "quiet" before the last crash, but what happened then... This article almost said "the bottom-fishing opportunity is here," be cautious It sounds good, but actually it just means it has to keep falling to truly clear out the market
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