BTC has shifted from the previous strong rebound market logic. So what is in front of us now? The EMA moving average has turned, overbought signals have appeared, and the key point is that the highs and lows are continuously decreasing—this is a typical bearish stance.

In this pattern, all your previous strategies are invalid. Mid-term holding, pullback support, moving average support... none of these can be relied upon. A change in approach is necessary.

Currently, there are only two options: one is for contract traders to look for opportunities to short when a rebound hits the structural resistance level combined with overbought signals; the other is for spot holders to stay patient and wait until the market fully forms a new pattern and the EMA converges and flattens before confirming the trend.

If you must choose an entry point, trying a long rebound around 2950 could be considered, with resistance above near 3000.