2026-01-21 13:23:34

RIVER this wave is indeed good, but a continuous rise without any fall is simply unrealistic. Want to keep pushing the rally? Then you need unlimited funds to support it. Currently, retail leverage is also limited to within 3x, and the large number of long positions accumulated by institutions must find opportunities to realize profits. The problem is, the higher the rise, the greater the risk of being noticed by big funds—once the big fish are watching, the dealer's orders can't escape. Continuing to push higher not only requires massive firepower but also exponentially increases the risk factor. My judgment is that it will be very difficult to break through this price level further; the likely scenario is oscillation up and down, gradually weakening, ultimately switching from bullish to bearish, and moving downward.

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0xLostKey

· 13h ago

This wave of gains is indeed tempting, but my brother is right—unlimited pump-and-dump is a fairy tale. Retail investors are stuck with 3x leverage, and institutions have long been eager to dump the market. Once the big players get involved, the market maker's path is doomed—that's fate. It feels like there will be repeated fluctuations followed by a continuous decline, and those who can't escape at that time will end up losing money.

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SocialFiQueen

· 13h ago

Wake up everyone, the big fish has really arrived, the market maker is definitely running away.

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FlatTax

· 14h ago

Honestly, I can't see through this wave of RIVER either, but your analysis is indeed a bit pessimistic. Institutions want to run orders, but it depends on whether the order book gives them the opportunity, haha. --- Switching from bullish to bearish? Then I'll wait to buy the dip, anyway, a drop to the right level is always a buying point. --- Unlimited funds? What a joke, who has that? But 3x leverage is indeed useless, that's the real trap for retail investors. --- The more I say that the risk is high, the more I feel there is still hope. When big fish are eyeing it, it indicates profit potential. --- I believe in the idea of oscillating weakness, but a continuous downward probe? Don't scare yourself too much, buddy. --- I agree with this logic, but no one can say exactly where the critical point is; it all depends on who runs faster.

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