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Market Analysis:
The current market continues the short-term trend of "oscillating and testing lows, weak rebound," and is expected to further decline to previous lows of BTC62000 and ETH1800; if support levels are not broken, only slight weak rebounds will occur, with limited room for upward movement. Rebounds are also opportunities to clear positions.
Macro News:
1. On February 24th, Eastern Time, Bitcoin ETF net outflows reached $1.139 billion, setting a new record; Ethereum ETF also saw net outflows of $32 million, with total outflows exceeding $2.4 billion in February. Institutional panic selling continues, with no signs of bottom-fishing funds entering. 18,000 traders were liquidated with losses of $180 million, with long positions accounting for 89%!
2. Trump's 10% "global tariff" took effect on February 24th, while the timetable for the 15% tariff has not yet been finalized; there are also reports that the US is considering imposing new tariffs on six major industries including batteries and chemicals. Tariff uncertainties are increasing market volatility. Funds continue to flow into low-risk assets, but gold has shown a turning point due to profit-taking exits, and cryptocurrencies remain under pressure.
3. International spot gold surged yesterday but then sharply fell, forming a typical "rise and fall" top pattern with obvious divergence between volume and price; market sentiment has shifted, gold ETFs have seen phased reductions, with profit-taking leading to a rush for exits. Short-term corrections are inevitable! However, strong safe-haven demand, Iran nuclear negotiations, and tariff uncertainties support gold prices.
4. The Federal Reserve has a 96.2% probability of not cutting interest rates in March, with the probability of a rate cut in June dropping below 44%. Hawkish stance remains, liquidity continues to tighten.
Trading Suggestions: You can ask during the live broadcast.
Special Reminder: The market is re-pricing itself in extreme ways: gold is the safe haven, cryptocurrencies are risky assets. Before funds flow back, staying alive is more important than anything else!
#比特币行情分析 #当前行情抄底还是观望? $BTC $ETH