Yanshuang

Market Analysis:
The market on March 6th perfectly demonstrated how "inflation trades" are fully suppressing traditional safe-haven logic. Gold plunged again under the dual squeeze of the US dollar and US Treasury yields, while cryptocurrencies experienced a volatile pattern of intense battles between bulls and bears at high levels after profit-taking.
Macro News:
1. The Middle East conflict has entered its sixth day, causing oil prices to surge and boost inflation expectations. The market is betting that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates for a longer period, while rising U

Market Analysis:
The market on March 5th continued the framework of "oil rises, cryptocurrencies rise, gold falls" from yesterday, and after "inflation trading" replaced "safe-haven trading" as the main market logic, divergence has further intensified. From last night to this morning, cryptocurrencies experienced a violent surge after short positions were forced to cover, while gold, after a brief correction, stabilized and rebounded due to a weakening dollar.
Macro News:
1. As tensions in Iran persist and oil prices remain high, market confidence in the "digital energy" narrative has further

Market Analysis:
Yesterday’s “oil up, crypto up, gold down” — under the threat of “energy war,” the disruption of the Strait of Hormuz triggered a surge in crude oil prices. The crypto market received capital inflows under the narrative of “digital energy,” while gold experienced a sharp decline due to the dual pressure of the US dollar, interest rates, and profit-taking.
Macro News:
1. Middle East conflicts have driven up energy prices, potentially intensifying inflationary pressures and reinforcing market expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates for a longer pe

Market Analysis:
On March 3rd, amid the rapid escalation of the Iran situation, the market experienced an epic energy panic and asset re-pricing. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz triggered a surge in energy prices, which transmitted to the crypto market, while gold hit new highs but was pressured by profit-taking, presenting a rare "oil up, crypto up, gold down" divergence pattern!
Macro News:
1. Spot gold briefly surged to $5,387 on March 2nd, hitting a record high and accumulating large profit-taking. A short-term dip of about $40 occurred in the early morning, breaking below $5,280 in a

Market Analysis:
On March 2nd, the crypto market experienced a rapid switch between "risk aversion" and "rationality" amid the intense developments in Iran. As Iran clarified the scope of its retaliatory actions, the market calmed down from extreme panic at the open. Gold prices surged then retreated, while cryptocurrencies saw volatile swings with sharp rises followed by declines.
Macro News:
1. Iran limited the conflict to "confrontation with the United States," rather than making the entire Gulf region an enemy. This significantly reduces the risk of the conflict escalating into a "full-sca

Market Analysis:
On March 1st, the market is experiencing an extreme divergence driven by a historically significant geopolitical conflict—gold prices are breaking new highs as a safe haven, while the crypto market is undergoing a technical rebound after a "flash crash," but the nearly 150,000 liquidation events reveal its nature as a risk asset.
Macro News:
1. After news of the US-Iran conflict on February 28th, Bitcoin plummeted straight down, breaking through the $64,000 level twice, with a low of $62,463, hitting a recent new low;
2. Following the confirmation by Iranian media on March 1st

Market Analysis:
The crypto market's "rebound is difficult to sustain," with a brief surge followed by a rapid decline, returning to a volatile bottoming channel. BTC has tested the $65,000 support again, while ETH has fallen below $1,900. Gold, driven by geopolitical risks, has broken new highs, showing a clear divergence from cryptocurrencies. There are no definitive signs of a mid-term bottoming, as institutional funds are exiting and unrealized losses are forcing selling pressure, leaving room for further correction, but this is not a trend reversal.
Macroeconomic News:
1. The BTC spot ETF

Market Analysis:
Yesterday's sharp rise followed by a pullback, with no sustained support from funds or external factors, has caused the crypto market to revert to a weak oscillation. Gold remains in a tug-of-war at high levels amid geopolitical safe-haven demand and profit-taking.
Macro News:
1. On the 27th Eastern Time, the BTC spot ETF experienced a net outflow of 2.76 billion USD, with institutions showing no substantial bottom-fishing activity, continuing a multi-day net outflow trend;
2. US stock-related crypto stocks BETH closed down 2.63% yesterday, with a nearly three-month cumulative

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Market Analysis:
The crypto market continues to show a short-term trend of "oversold rebound and oscillation under pressure." On the 25th, US stock-related crypto concept stocks (BETH) rose 7.98% in a single day, driving a short-term rebound in the crypto market. However, this rebound is unlikely to provide sustained positive support for the market, and its durability is questionable, further suppressing the continuation of the rebound.
Macro News:
BTC, ETH, and international gold rebound v

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Market Analysis:
The current market continues the short-term trend of "oscillating and testing lows, weak rebound," and is expected to further decline to previous lows of BTC62000 and ETH1800; if support levels are not broken, only slight weak rebounds will occur, with limited room for upward movement. Rebounds are also opportunities to clear positions.
Macro News:
1. On February 24th, Eastern Time, Bitcoin ETF net outflows reached $1.139 billion, setting a new record; Ethereum ETF a

Market Analysis:
Currently, the market is experiencing a confluence of triple negative factors: "tariff shocks + continuous ETF outflows + Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates," resulting in weak oscillations, unending dips, and a very high risk of long positions being liquidated. If the rebound lacks volume support, it is merely a weak oversold correction with limited upside potential. A rebound is the signal to exit positions.
Macro News:
1. Trump announced an increase in global import tariffs to 15%. US stock and crypto-related stocks declined before the market opened, with funds shif

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Market Analysis:
In the short term, the market will continue to fluctuate weakly, with a downward trend testing lows. Trading volume will keep shrinking, the bearish trend will further strengthen, rebounds will be weak, and the risk of long positions being liquidated will continue to rise. Panic sentiment remains.
Macro News:
1. The Federal Reserve's disagreements are intensifying, with a 95.9% probability of no rate cut in

Market Analysis:
Last night, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which became the catalyst for this round of rebound. Nearly 90,000 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours, with 230 million wiped out. The short positions were violently squeezed, and panic sentiment has not yet subsided!
Macro News:
1. January CPI year-over-year increased by 2.4%, below expectations. This inflation report "offset the pressure from this week's strong non-farm payroll data, providing the Federal Reserve with a 'slightly dovish' reason," and it is expect

Market Analysis:
The non-farm payrolls negative impact continues to ferment, coupled with a sharp decline in US stocks and panic in the AI sector triggering a full-scale sell-off of risk assets. BTC has fallen below 66,000, ETH has dropped below 1950, entering a weak bottoming phase. Tonight's US January CPI will again cause volatility, with the market preemptively hedging risks. Trading volume continues to shrink, weak rebounds lack sustainability, and the risk of a double bottom increases.
Macro News:
1. Strong non-farm payroll data lock in a hawkish Federal Reserve, with a 94%+ probability

Market Analysis:
Last night, influenced by non-farm payroll data, the rate cut dream was shattered, and the crypto market came under pressure and declined. BTC briefly dipped to $65,992 before quickly recovering, ETH fell below the $2000 mark, and in the short term, the market will continue to be dominated by the negative impact of non-farm data, maintaining a volatile bottoming-out trend, continuing to test lows!
Macro News:
1. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the delayed January non-farm employment report, showing an increase of 130,000 jobs, far exceeding expectations, completel

Market Analysis:
BTC and ETH are oscillating and testing lows, the market's downward trend has not stopped, and rebounds are weak. The risk of long positions being liquidated continues to rise. The panic index has risen to a high level, indicating that investor confidence is extremely fragile.
Macro News:
1. The Federal Reserve's probability of not cutting interest rates in March is 78.4%. Two Federal Reserve voting members have signaled "long-term hold," completely shattering short-term rate cut expectations. Liquidity tightening pressure remains;
2. New policies implemented by 8 domestic dep

Market Analysis:
The short-term market will continue to oscillate downward, with trading volume steadily shrinking. The bearish trend remains dominant, rebounds are weak, frequent liquidations of long positions occur, and panic sentiment has slightly increased.
Macroeconomic Factors:
1. U.S. stocks closed higher overnight but with narrower gains. However, the positive effect of the stock rebound has not transmitted to the crypto market. Instead, due to rising hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve, funds are withdrawing from high-risk crypto assets and shifting to low-risk sectors.
2. T

Market Analysis:
The current short-term market will continue to fluctuate and consolidate, with BTC and ETH repeatedly testing the 70,000 and 2,000 levels. Beware of trap setups for a bullish move! In the past 24 hours, over 90,000 traders were liquidated, totaling 330 million, with both bulls and bears suffering losses. Panic sentiment has eased but not disappeared.
Macroeconomic Outlook:
1. The Federal Reserve has a 77.3% probability of not cutting interest rates in March, with a hawkish stance still dominant, making rate cut expectations unlikely;
2. U.S. stocks are volatile, and the positi

Market Analysis:
After experiencing the "bloodbath" in the past two days, last night's market staged a shocking reversal! BTC violently rebounded from near the $60,000 cliff, with a maximum rebound to $71,729, almost recovering all the losses from the previous "crash"! ETH also rebounded to $2093. The market saw a strong retaliatory rebound in the early hours of February 7. However, is this truly a trend reversal or just a pause amid a downtrend?
Macroeconomic Perspective:
1. U.S. stocks surged significantly, boosting global risk assets and causing a synchronized rebound in cryptocurrencies. T

Market Analysis:
On the early morning of February 6th, the global markets crashed overnight! BTC plummeted over 12%, dropping to $59,902, hitting a 16-month low! ETH was hit hard, falling more than 15% to $1,740! Nearly 589,000 traders were liquidated, blood flowing in the streets!
The Deadly Truth Behind the Crash:
1. The US stock market continues to collapse, with the Nasdaq down 1.59%. Tech stocks broadly decline, global risk assets are being sold off wildly, and cryptocurrencies have become the main target of the sell-off. Coupled with the panic from the previous days' continuous decline,