一凡论市

# 3.18 Daily Summary
It was a dark day. The morning thesis aligned perfectly with expectations, and the daytime analysis was spot on. The decline started before 8 PM, with multiple support levels broken in succession. I controlled my positions today—profited on 2 trades, took a loss on 1 trade. Waiting for news to land in the evening.
Powell's speech at 2:30 AM is the key variable that will determine the short-term market direction.
If his remarks lean toward economic slowdown, inflation persistence, or even "stagflation-like" language, it will directly reinforce hawkish expectations, and risk

$ETH Tonight, the market's true moment of life and death has arrived!
At 2:30, "Old Powell" speaks, and the dot plot directly determines the direction for the coming year.
You think the positive news has already been fully priced in? The negative news has already been discounted?
Wrong.
The real volatility often occurs when "everyone thinks everything is fine."
Currently, the price seems to have absorbed all information,
But as soon as there is a single statement leaning hawkish or dovish—
The market can flip instantly.
This night,
It's not about following the trend,
It's—deciding life or dea

Core Methods for Unlocking Positions in Cryptocurrency Trading
1. Responding Based on Position Size
- Shallow Positions: Use a rebound rally to directly unlock the position, or reduce holdings at high points to lower risk.
- Deep Positions: Reduce holdings at high points partially, or add positions to lower the average cost, gaining control of the market.
2. Trading According to Coin Trends
- Downtrend: Confirm the trend and immediately cut losses without hesitation or false hope to avoid deep losses.
- Range-Bound Volatility: No need for urgent stop-loss; wait for high points in the oscillati

A pullback provides everyone with a chance to buy. During the day, the market mainly moves sideways with no significant action for now. Be patient and wait for the evening news to materialize. As long as the key support level is not broken, the overall trend will remain unchanged, and our approach stays the same.

【Powell Data Dump Warning Tonight】
The Fed's second-to-last rate decision meeting kicks off tonight! Market expects a hold (probability near 0%), but this "farewell performance" will be anything but calm——Middle East escalation + sticky inflation + labor data rollercoaster, triple hit incoming, tonight could become a "hawk-dove showdown" spectacle!
Quick highlights 👇
1️⃣ Statement wording: Iran conflict likely gets mentioned, labor description possibly shifts from "stabilizing" back to "subdued." Goldman Sachs bets: acknowledgment of increased uncertainty; Morgan Stanley: inflation language u

Welcome to a long-time loyal fan who has successfully entered the whale tier at 35,000, officially launching the account doubling plan. This week is coming to an end, with only one spot remaining available. Progress without ceasing, the future is promising.

$BTC Midday Analysis
The afternoon overall shows a bullish bias with oscillation. The probability of testing upward resistance is higher, but it won't be a one-sided sharp rally. Range trading is more suitable.
- Price is stuck around 74,209, with the 5/10/30-day moving averages all tangled nearby, indicating that bulls and bears are temporarily in a balanced state with no one-sided dominating force.
- MACD: DIF is above DEA with positive values, bullish momentum is still present, just not particularly strong.
KDJ: K=67.7, D=63.8, J=75.5, in a neutral-bullish zone, not yet overbought, still r

March 18 ETH Market Analysis
Ethereum is simultaneously entering a consolidation phase at high levels, with price fluctuating narrowly within the 2300-2360 range. The overall trend is stable and significantly outperforming most altcoins, following Bitcoin's oscillation and accumulation pattern while awaiting the next directional move.
From the 4-hour technical perspective, the MACD indicator has formed a golden cross above the zero line with clear bullish signals intact. Price continues to operate above the moving averages, with limited short-term correction range, providing solid technical su

There's no need to be overly anxious about this Federal Reserve meeting. The decision is just following procedure, and the market is unlikely to have a major reaction.
There are two key points to watch:
1. Dot plot: If it shifts from "1 rate cut" to "0 cuts," US stocks, BTC, and other assets will face pressure.
2. Powell's speech: Mentioning "higher for longer" would be bearish; ambiguous remarks would be favorable.
The market has already priced in hawkish expectations. As long as it doesn't exceed hawkish expectations, a near-term relief rally is possible once the uncertainty is resolved.
We'

BTC 15-Minute Trend
Bitcoin completed a liquidity sweep near 73,249 and quickly rebounded. The price has now returned to the vicinity of the 74,400 area.
In the short term, the market is testing key resistance above.
Key Levels
Resistance: 74,800 - 75,500
Support: 73,200
Major Support: 72,800
If the price fails to break through 74,800, the market may retest the liquidity zone near 73,200.
However, if it successfully breaks through 75,000, Bitcoin has the opportunity to continue extending new upside potential.#比特币站上7.5万美元

Morning strategy directly materialized, easily capturing several hundred points of profit space, strength is the best proof.
Every day providing direction and strategy in advance, following along means steady gains, isn't this wave delicious?

3.18 (Bitcoin) Morning Analysis
From the 1-hour level, the price has pulled back and quickly stabilized with recovery, successfully holding above the mid-band. The mid-band has turned up and formed effective support. Short-side volume has continued to diminish and weaken, while long-side momentum is gradually strengthening. Moving averages are beginning to diverge upward, with strong rebound strength in the short term. Market sentiment is gradually shifting from oscillation to bullish, and the short-term trend is biased toward strong upside movement.
On the 4-hour level, the overall pattern ma

3.17 Midnight BTC/ETH Forecast Analysis
BTC Market Outlook
- Current Price: 73409
- Key Levels:
- Upper Resistance: 74600–74800 (near previous high of 74481; breakthrough will open larger upside space)
- Lower Support: 73200–72900 (yesterday's low of 72926; break below will trigger accelerated downside)
- Midnight Trend Analysis:
1. Bullish Direction: If holding above 73500 and breaking through 73800 on volume, follow the trend for longs with targets first at 74200, then 74600–74800.
2. Bearish Direction: If breaking below 73200 with weak rebounds, go short directly with targets first at 72800

Yifan March Real Trading Summary - March 17th
Today, big cake moved completely according to the plan, pulling up to the target level of 76000 without deviation, then retraced to near the entry level, entered the position in time, and took profits in time.
On March 17th, BTC completed a total of 5 trades, including 4 long positions and 1 short position. All trades achieved positive returns. (Positions below 1000u not recorded) Total cumulative profit reached 23020.
First long position: Entered at 73406, exited at 74824, captured 1418 points of space, profit of 7088;
Second long position: Entere