BitunderstandResearchI

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BTC rebound is a high-altitude opportunity
76,000 is a strong resistance zone for chip pressure
BTC reserves increased from 2.72 million to 2.75 million since mid-January
Whales continue transferring to exchanges
Intention to crash is obvious
If it breaks below the 60,000 USD psychological level
It will trigger programmatic trading leverage liquidations and ETF redemption stampedes
Price may directly test 40,000-50,000
US PCE inflation reached 3.0%
Rate cut expectations reduced from 6 cuts at year-start to only 1 cut
Some institutions are even discussing rate hikes
Expect bear market bottom to
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In March 2022 at this time, BTC had just experienced eight consecutive daily green candles on the daily chart, followed by a new round of sharp decline. With the same timeframe and the same technical setup appearing now, will this time be different?
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BTC should not be hastily judged as retesting bottoms before a secondary top structure emerges and key support breaks.
Major players have invested substantial costs in controlling and pushing prices higher, but if the Nasdaq continues to weaken and capital continues to drain, the selling pressure on the market will increase significantly.
At the same time, pay attention to the oscillation rhythm over Saturday and Sunday.
Currently, the market is in a shock and game stage.
When trading, avoid extreme emotional reactions—don't shout about a major bull market return every time it rises, and don't
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Most of the time, going long and going short aren't games of right or wrong, but games of probability. You've learned to row, read the compass, and handle the sails, but the sea always has wind and waves.
An excellent captain isn't one who never encounters storms, but one who knows when to reef the sails, when to change course, and even which waters should never be entered at all.
No one returns fully laden from every voyage, but the captains who survive always find opportunity in the next tide.
Always believe in yourself.
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Risk assets are very likely to continue crashing this month
Even liquidity tightening could cause gold to collapse
So, continue to be bullish on crude oil
Bearish on BTC
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Ten thousand USD as principal
If you can maintain a 100% annual return,
It will only take 4 years to reach A7, the 7th year A8, and by the 11th year, you will arrive at A9.
Currently, many people who have been in the financial investment circle for years
Not to mention the majority,
How many people truly have pure cash flow exceeding A7?
And how many have actually reached A8?
Many of the glamorous people you see are survivors' bias; most people don't have the mood or the place to express their voice.
Losses are the biggest silencer in the trading market.
True compound interest is about maintai
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BTC Monthly Line 5 Consecutive Down Days
It's the first time in history
Unable to go up or down, the consolidation has lasted so long
Should we see a rebound in March?
Buy the dip with a long position and catch a rebound
Don't miss out on a full house
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Being able to hold is a skill; being able to take it away is a winner.
Last night, I was chatting with an old friend.
He recently rebounded and shorted from tens of thousands to over 3 million.
Then he decisively withdrew 2 million.
Without hesitation, he returned to his hometown and bought a house outright for his family, and kept the rest in a fixed deposit for his wife.
He kept 1 million inside the exchange.
According to him,
That 1 million is just profit betting; losing doesn’t hurt, winning is just icing on the cake.
In this “cannibalistic” battlefield,
Many people haven
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The BTC market has recently been fluctuating between 60,000 and 70,000, digesting the sharp decline from 126,000 to 60,000.
On a larger scale, the trend remains bearish.
The longer Bitcoin stays suppressed, the weaker the rebound will be.
Breaking out of the consolidation range means a headshot and a sharp decline.
In a bear market cycle, each rebound's high will be significantly lower than the previous one.
In the short term, it's very difficult for the market to reverse completely.
If there's a short-term rebound to around 70,000, consider taking profits in stages.
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Bitcoin is currently falling to this extent
Shareholders of Bitcoin holding companies are starting to lose patience
The US stock Bitcoin reserve company Empery Digital
Recently not only faces a new low in stock price
Even shareholders are demanding the board of directors resign
Immediately sell all the Bitcoin previously accumulated by the company
And request that the proceeds from the sale be returned to shareholders
Although these companies already feel the pressure there
But I personally believe that one of the signs of the bottom
Requires even more despair
Waiting until the market is silen
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A very important change in market structure
The market has now clearly entered:
BTC → Few top projects → New narratives
Instead of the past bull run where Bitcoin led the entire market to rise
Old altcoins have basically not recovered to previous highs
New narrative coins are replacing old projects
Market cycles are becoming increasingly brutal
Token economics are worsening
Many projects, VC low-cost tokens, massive unlocks, high FDV
The result is long-term unilateral decline.
Many former "star projects"
Have basically gone to zero
50 mainstream altcoins:
Down more than 90%: 34
Down more than
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This year, the crypto world has seen many people bowing, smiling through the pain, and crushing their dignity into powder for traffic.
The new blood in the crypto industry no longer believes that gold will always shine, and instead is diligently practicing "licking skills."
History has long proven that all dynasties that rely on kneeling to make money will eventually fall. When a person gets used to exchanging dignity for benefits, they can no longer bear the weight of standing and walking.
Standing and making money may be difficult, but at least we can see the stars. Kneeling to earn money is
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BSC address receives random red envelopes
May we ride forward like swift horses, stay ahead, and choose the right direction; on-chain computing power surges, mining machines roar like the sound of hooves. Holdings gallop like majestic horses, with long red K-lines and no pullbacks; may each mining machine mine the future, and every block be engraved with wealth.
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As a liberal arts student, I often feel sad because my writing skills are not enough and I don't know how to describe my current mood. Flipping through my notes, I accidentally came across something I wrote ten years ago. The free life I once dreamed of has now been realized.
However, I am not happy. Material conditions shape consciousness; subjective perceptions align with objective reality. Compared to back then, my material foundation has greatly surpassed, yet I still often long for the past. After dinner at home, I had many things I wanted to say, but I deleted them all.
You, in your
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The charm of Bitcoin is that every time it seems to die, it manages to come back to life. As long as Bitcoin doesn't die, the crypto world won't perish.
2011: Dropped from 32 to 2, called a geek toy, went to zero; then rose to 1,100.
2015: Dropped from 1,166 to 170, said the credit collapse was hopeless; then rose to 19,800.
2019: Dropped from 19,800 to 3,100, said the scam was exposed, it's doomed; then rose to 69,000.
2022: Dropped from 69,000 to 15,450, said institutions are leaving, it's completely finished; then rose to 109,000.
2025: Dropped from 109,000 to 74,000, said the cyc
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