ZhangShuofeng'sScriptDiary

Bitcoin has established its value. $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

Bitcoin Bottom-Fishing Indicators Collectively Fail, $45,000 May Be Last Defense Line
Bitcoin has reversed course again after eight consecutive daily gains, declining continuously from $76,000 and currently trading around $69,200. For players eager to bottom-fish, the biggest confusion right now is: how have those indicators that once worked reliably suddenly stopped working?
The Ahr999 index has been lying in the sub-0.45 bottom-fishing zone for nearly 50 days. In the past, this would have been the time to close your eyes and enter the market, but the market keeps falling regardless. The MVRV

Today many people have been asking me, Old Zhang, how accurate is your call on the southward move? I can already see it stabilizing, didn't it bounce up to 71?
If you carefully look at the positions I gave you, you'll discover what precision really means! #加密行情震荡 $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

Ethereum Market Analysis 2026.03.20
ETH "just as expected" reversed its downtrend yesterday at the exact time and marked position mentioned in yesterday's tweet. Friends who read the tweet carefully last night got back in 😁
I have always maintained my update principle: video analysis of major-level trends every Sunday, and daily tweets breaking down and tracking minor-level structures. Although posting only daily candles can avoid many minor-level noise and appear "perfectly accurate," I think sharing daily updates like this will be more valuable. For friends who have been watching, remember

Starting from 76000, I've been rolling short positions almost all the way down.
And I also accurately predicted that the 69100 level last night would trigger a rebound.
In terms of grasping trends, I believe I have almost no competitors on this square.
When you believe the major trend is bearish, you should boldly add positions at every rebound resistance level.
It's possible many people also went short at 76000.
But during the small rebounces in between, how many dared to roll short positions?
Nothing special, just practice makes perfect #Gate13周年全球庆典 $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

BTC Market Analysis 2026.03.20
Since the 76000 resistance level was identified as the phase high, BTC has fallen 7200 points! After the decline stopped last night, I took profits on part of my short positions. The reason is that if BTC follows the red route, 68700 may be the endpoint of the first downtrend. After the rebound from this 76000-68700 decline concludes over the next few days, BTC will continue to fall to the Gann time window of 3.24/3.30 that week.
The stronger the rebound momentum currently running and the longer it lasts, the lower the probability of the blue route becomes.
Tradi

From the current price action perspective, although the main targets showed a relatively large-scale rebound correction during the night session, when comprehensively assessing the strength and cyclic dimension of the rebound, this does not meet the conditions necessary to support a sustained trend reversal.
On the 4-hour timeframe, although bullish candles have appeared and recovered some lost ground, the energy coordination is clearly insufficient, presenting a structure of volume contraction during the uptrend. This state typically struggles to evolve into sustained price movement. Currentl

Ethereum Market Analysis 2026.03.19
ETH's overall rhythm follows BTC, but there are slight differences at smaller levels. Currently, the subsequent trend is quite clear. This week's movement will determine whether ETH follows the red or blue route shown in the chart, so it requires extra attention.
Red: ETH stops falling and runs a rebound wave in the next two days. After the rebound ends over the weekend or early next week, it continues to fall to the Gann time cycle of 3.24/3.30. Subsequently, if the downtrend endpoint does not fall below 1747, it will pull another wave after completing the

What's the value of this post? How many brothers got in on it? #美联储维持利率不变 $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

$BTC Market Analysis 2026.03.19
Let me start with the conclusion: I believe BTC will complete the decline starting from 76000 earliest next week, or at the latest on the weekly K by 3.30. The magnitude of this decline will determine which route it follows as shown in the chart.
Since BTC broke through 74000, I've been consistently pouring cold water on the situation, repeatedly reminding everyone that this is merely a rebound. After the rebound ends, it will continue to decline. Even if the rebound level expands, the first wave of the rebound has already entered its final stage, followed by a

Yesterday's trading targets from my analysis were completed. Bitcoin broke below 71,000, and Ethereum reached a low of 2,150. All short positions that entered were closed with profits. Regardless of how much was gained, the outcome is that everything secured safely. The strategy adjustment was timely, and of course, this wouldn't have been possible without coordination with friends. Moving forward, we'll continue the momentum and strive to multiply the positions several times over for everyone.
Frankly, there's not much additional explanation needed for this market movement. Whether it's techn

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates unchanged, but according to the median of the Fed's dot plot: cumulative rate cuts of 25 basis points are expected in 2026. In other words, there is a high probability of only one rate cut this year. #美联储利率决议 $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

There are 20 minutes left until the Federal Reserve decision is announced, and at 2:30 we'll have to listen to old Powell chattering away. How many people are glued to this time slot? #美联储利率决议 $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

The US classifies BTC, ETH, SOL, ADA, DOT, LINK, DOGE, LTC, XRP, HBAR, and SHIB as "Digital Commodities" (digital commodities), not securities.
The core logic behind this is that the value of these assets derives from the decentralized system's own operation + market supply and demand, rather than relying on team hype, expectation management, or passive dividend rights.
One-sentence summary: Truly decentralized native coins = commodities; centralized tokens backed by narratives/teams will likely be targeted as securities.
This means that in the future, a large number of altcoins and shitcoins