IQ50ButFullyInvolved

The panic index is at 12 and has been fluctuating between 5–15 for half a month. Should you start building a position?
First, this situation historically falls into the category of: Extreme sentiment at a freezing point.
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1. What periods in history have seen the index at 5–15?
This range typically only occurs during:
① Black swan / systemic collapse phases
For example:
• March 2020 pandemic crash (BTC dropped to 3800)
• 2022 LUNA collapse
• 2022 FTX meltdown
• End of 2022 bear market bottom area
During these times, the index remains around 10 for a long time.
Characteristics are:
✔ Extremely

This year's New Year atmosphere is too dull
The economy is really struggling
Hold onto cash
Hold onto Bitcoin
Invest cautiously

ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood recently stated during a CNBC live broadcast that she believes the bottom of this round of Bitcoin has basically already appeared. Her core logic is that: this correction is the shallowest in Bitcoin's four-year cycle history, indicating that selling pressure has been largely absorbed. She predicts that as the cycle progresses and institutional participation continues, Bitcoin may experience a very strong upward trend, potentially even a "parabolic" rise.
However, she also mentioned that in the short term, there could still be fluctuations, with prices possibly o

Why as soon as I open a position, \nthe tariff war between the US and Europe breaks out, \nthe Japanese government bonds face a sell-off crisis, \nand Denmark clears out US government bonds?\n\nWhy as soon as I close my positions, \nall the bearish news disappears, \nthe liquidity returns, \nand the bull market comes back?

Now going for ALPHA, unable to break the previous high, then siphoning off other coins, it's too outrageous.
Is this meme wave coming to an end?
It's been two weeks already.

Trump's Tariffs on Europe
The core impact will be reflected in short-term emotional shocks, medium-term structural changes, and long-term increased polarization.
In the short term, concerns about trade friction and retaliatory measures are rising.
European stocks, especially the German automotive and industrial sectors, are under pressure, and global risk assets are experiencing increased volatility.
In the medium term, the U.S. stock market is not entirely negative; capital may shift toward domestically benefiting industries such as "Made in America," energy, and defense, while multinational

BTC drops from 94k to 91k. Why is there volatility amid strong liquidity?
Today, BTC experienced a rollercoaster: this morning, it briefly surged past $94,600 but quickly retraced to the $91k-$93k range, currently stabilizing around $93,000-$93,800.
Despite the global liquidity rebound, with the Fed injecting funds and M2 surging, fueling the bull market, why is the price still correcting? Don’t worry, this is often normal market behavior.
The main reasons for the correction are short-term factors:
1. Rapid rally triggers short squeeze (over $400 million liquidated in 24 hours), profit-taking

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