OldBlackDiscussesPastries1

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11h ago

ETH
Following recent strong ETH momentum, the rebound near 2390 encountered selling pressure from bears, resulting in a significant pullback with market sentiment characterized by intense long-short competition.
Overnight news triggered rapid market downside, but failed to sustain the decline and is expected to stabilize. Currently, the uptrend remains intact. Additionally, continuous ETF net inflows provide support. During the day, pay attention to 2140 as a key on-chain cost and structural support level. As long as it doesn't break below, we can trade the bounce, targeting 2250-2300 nearby.

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OldBlackDiscussesPastries1

14h ago

Bitcoin is currently in a period of directional choice after the short-term trend has weakened. On smaller timeframes, a retracement sentiment is being released, and momentum indicators such as MACD are turning weaker, indicating that a quick V-shaped reversal is unlikely in the near term. Instead, the market is more likely to absorb selling pressure through consolidation.
At present, whether the price holds above or falls below 70,500 is the key point to watch today.
If it can stay above, the market will remain within the 70,500-72,500 range, oscillating and forming a base;
If it breaks below

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OldBlackDiscussesPastries1

14h ago

Bitcoin is currently in a phase of directional choice after a short-term trend weakening. On smaller timeframes, a retracement sentiment is being released, and momentum indicators such as MACD are weakening, indicating that a quick V-shaped reversal is unlikely in the near term. The market is more likely to absorb selling pressure through consolidation.
At present, the key level to watch today is 70,500.
If this level is maintained, the market will stay within the 70,500-72,500 range, oscillating and building a base;
If it breaks decisively with increased volume, there is a risk of seeking sup

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OldBlackDiscussesPastries1

03-18 09:36

The Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's press conference that the market has been hotly discussing will be revealed tonight—another eventful night full of ups and downs.
Currently, based on the data, the probability of a rate cut is 0%, and the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 98.9%. This time we can basically confirm there won't be a rate cut. However, if there are hawkish remarks, a sharp decline could happen in an instant. Whether we can hold the line will depend on Powell's impact tonight.
Friends with ideas and insights, welcome to join the chat room to exchange and dis

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03-18 06:17

BTC
Recent improvement in capital flows has supported the rebound, with Bitcoin singing all the way up. Although one bearish candle broke the eight consecutive positive days pattern, it hasn't formed a significant decline. Recently, all holders have been consistently pleased.
Currently, the overall uptrend showed oscillation after 76K, though it has pulled back, the momentum isn't strong enough. The short-term pullback adjustment can be understood as preparation for better upward attacks. For now, pay attention to whether the short-term support of 72000 holds; if it breaks below, watch for fur

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OldBlackDiscussesPastries1

03-17 11:17

ETH
Recently, precious metals have continued to be affected by Middle East tensions. ETF demand has gradually warmed up, and gold has broken through the 5,000 mark. Some capital has rotated into the crypto market, which has shown strong momentum with eight consecutive green days over the past week.
Currently, early this morning saw a large bullish candle attempting to push toward 2400 without success. While a short-term pullback is needed, the magnitude won't be too large. Both support and resistance levels are moving up synchronously. Before the trend changes, if this red zone holds steady, t

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03-17 05:45

BTC
As geopolitical concerns ease, funds are flowing out of safe-haven assets like gold and pouring back into Bitcoin. Currently, the market has shown strong bullish closes for consecutive days. There is a clear divergence in market expectations regarding the direction after breaking through 75,000. Pay attention to whether this level stabilizes above the moving average, forming an N-shaped bullish structure with a complete uptrend. If it can break through the previous high, it may potentially push up further toward 78,000.
If it fails to stabilize, bears may make a comeback. The hourly MACD i

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OldBlackDiscussesPastries1

03-16 06:11

Looking back at all last week's analysis summaries, it was basically sustained bullish momentum and gains throughout. On the cyclical front, Lao Hei's analysis consistently emphasized that after stability in the Middle East, conditions are gradually warming up, and each pullback presented buying opportunities. The market has performed as expected.
Moving into a new week and a fresh start. If you're still uncertain or at a loss, you can join Lao Hei and we'll move forward together.

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OldBlackDiscussesPastries1

03-13 04:30

# Ordinary Days, Extraordinary Hope
Plant extraordinary hope in ordinary days, and patiently await the flowers to bloom. Yesterday, BTC arrived as scheduled near the 69K support level, rebounded from the dip, and subsequently rallied with oscillations to touch around 72K, which is an ideal target level.
Currently, BTC is experiencing intense long-short competition, but remains in an oscillating pattern above 70K. Going forward, pay attention to the 72.2K level—if it can be effectively broken through and hold firmly, the upside space opens up with potential to approach previous highs.
Conversel

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OldBlackDiscussesPastries1

03-12 01:02

Last night, CPI data met expectations, and combined with the net inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs, a rally was triggered, precisely reaching the ideal level of 71.2K as indicated by Silk Road Reminder.
Currently, Bitcoin faces resistance again during its upward move and has pulled back for a correction. Overall, around 70,000 remains a critical battleground. The daily chart shows consecutive bullish days forming a double bottom rebound. If it stabilizes at this level, market sentiment remains optimistic for continued upward movement, with a dominant bias towards northbound trading. During pullbac

BTC-2,93%

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OldBlackDiscussesPastries1

03-06 09:29

Tonight at 21:30 Non-Farm Payrolls Night, the U.S. will release the February non-farm employment data. This is a key point that determines the short-term direction of the global markets, and gold, the dollar, and U.S. stocks are expected to experience intense volatility.
Core data: U.S. February unemployment rate: previous 4.30%, expected 4.30%;
February seasonally adjusted non-farm employment change: previous 130,000, market expectation 59,000, nearly halved from last month’s 130,000.
The current background is not just about the data itself, but also the war weekend effect. If tonight’s

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