JinpengTrader

Why do we need to step on the brakes during trading?
Today, let's talk about how to cut losses and preserve our principal.
Whether you're a veteran or a beginner, no investment will always go up 100%. So, to navigate this uncertain game, always remember: protect your principal. Without it, everything else is meaningless.
The first step to preserving your principal is not to act blindly. Every trade must be carefully considered. The best entry point is actually your stop-loss point. Because when we buy in, we are judging that the price will go up afterward; otherwise, why buy? If the pric

ETH April 23, 2026 Market Analysis (Precise Version)

Core conclusion: ETH today saw narrow-range fluctuations; the bullish and bearish sides’ game is relatively mild. It is in the key accumulation range of $2,300–$2,350. The short-term bias is bullish, but it has not broken through key resistance. Fundamentals plus whale capital form support. The trading approach is mainly “sell high and buy low within the range,” while strictly controlling leverage risk.

1. Core market data (as of 8:00 AM on April 23)

- Current price: $2,327
- 24 hours: +0.35%, slight increase
- 7-day increase: +4.32%,

How to Set Reasonable Stop Losses (Practical Application, Logic + Methods + Implementation)
Core Principle: Stop loss is not about "cutting losses after a certain amount," but about "cutting when you prove you're wrong." Stop loss must be tied to your trading logic, entry structure, and position management; it should not be set based on feelings or fixed points.
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1. Understand the 3 Underlying Logics of Reasonable Stop Losses
1. Stop loss is the "boundary of admitting mistake"
Breaking your entry logic = must stop loss, regardless of how much you are losing.
Example: You enter a breakou

Why does the market crash every time there’s a major conference?
Core takeaway: It’s not “a meeting = a guaranteed drop.” Instead, it’s the combined effect of “expectations priced in early, realization upon landing (good news turned into reality), uncertainty risk-hedging, and the rules of capital games” that makes you subjectively magnify your memory of “selling off whenever there’s a meeting.” Because crypto currency futures/contracts use high leverage, volatility is directly amplified into “crashes.” This is the underlying logic shared by both A-shares and the crypto world.
 

1. Most impo

One-sentence conclusion:
Long-term stable profits depend on the risk-reward ratio, while short-term survival depends on the win rate; both must be used together, but the weight of the risk-reward ratio is far greater than that of the win rate.

 

1. First, look at the most core formula

As long as you trade, you can't get around this:

Expected return = Win rate × Average profit - Loss rate × Average loss

- High win rate: for example, 60% win and 40% lose, with a 1:1 risk-reward ratio
→ Profitable in the long run, but with extremely low tolerance—one big loss can wipe you ou

To succeed in trading, the core principle is: first survive, then earn stable money, and only then talk about huge profits.
Below is a set of the most practical, directly applicable ideas—no metaphysics involved.


1. First, control two things: position size & stop loss

This is the key to whether you can do this long-term:

1. Never lose more than 1%–2% of your total funds on a single trade
No matter how many losses, you won't blow up your account or lose your composure.
2. Set your stop loss level before entering the trade
If you're wrong, get out—don't hold the positio

The "certainty" in contract trading is essentially a multi-dimensional resonance, high probability, quantifiable, and repeatable advantage zone. It is not 100% prediction, but rather pushing the win rate, risk-reward ratio, and risk control to the extreme. Below is a practical method to directly find certainty.
1. First, understand: The core logic of certainty
- Not prediction, but "high-probability patterns" + "strict rules"
- True certainty = multi-dimensional resonance (technology + volume + cycle + capital + sentiment)
- Fake certainty = single signal, no volume, counter-trend, small-cycle

Crypto/Contract Trading · True Landed People, 12 Identical Underlying Common Traits
No exceptions, all traders who achieve long-term stable profits and completely turn their lives around meet these characteristics. Missing even one will hold you back.
1. Mindset and Cognition (90% of success or failure here)
1. Accept losses as trading costs, not failure
Never resist stop-loss, don’t hold onto losing positions, don’t resent or retaliate against trades; being able to lose is the way to profit.
2. Have extreme reverence for the market, never think you can predict the trend
Only follow the tr

The recursion of the Chan Theory, simply put, is: starting from the smallest price structure, using a fixed set of rules, build larger trend structures from the bottom up step by step.
1. Core Essence
- Direction: Bottom-up (small to large)
- Principle: Isomorphism / Self-similarity — the structure rules are exactly the same at any level
- Purpose: To establish an unambiguous level system and solve the problem of “how large is the trend level, and what stage is it currently in”
2. The two key functions of recursion (original text)
1. f0: Foundation (constructing the smallest level) - starting

The Big Shot's Ultimate Strategy for Turning the Tide from Desperation: A Minimalist Core Method
1. Surround the city from the countryside (weaker parties avoid strong opponents and target weaker ones)
- Big Shot's approach: Avoid direct confrontation with giants, focus on lower-tier, niche, and fringe markets
- Shi Yuzhu: Don't produce health products for first-tier cities, focus on middle-aged and elderly in county towns and rural areas
- Huawei: Start with small countries in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, rather than directly challenging Western giants from the beginning
- Lei Jun: Don't