2025lovepeace

History is a fragment of biology: human life is part of the vicissitudes of terrestrial and marine life. Like animals, humans are busy with living, dying, and loving. The laws of biology are also the fundamental lessons of history. We are governed by the processes and traces of evolution, and we are also tested by the survival of the fittest and the law of the jungle. There are two driving forces: one called survival, and the other called reproduction. The first lesson biology teaches us about history is: life depends on competition. Competition is not just about the survival of transactions, but the transaction of life — when food is abundant, competition is peaceful; when food is scarce, competition becomes violent. Animals do not feel guilty when they eat their own kind, but civilized humans consume others through legal procedures. Cooperation is a tool or means of competition. Group competition shares the same characteristics as individual competition: insatiable greed, bravado, factionalism, and arrogance. Nations, like us, record our nature in bold letters and commit good or evil on a larger scale. Bravado, insatiable greed, and greed-driven desire have been stories flowing in our blood for millions of years. War is the highest form of competition between nations. War promotes cooperation between nations, simply because cooperation is the ultimate form of competition. The second lesson biology teaches us about history is: life is a form of evolution and selection. We are born with differences: this stems from our physiological, psychological inheritance, and the influence of culture and tradition among groups. Even identical twins have countless differences, and there are no two identical peas in the world. Inequality is not only natural and innate but also increases with the complexity of civilization.

The most correct way to choose cryptocurrencies in the stock market is to never sell. The cryptocurrencies that can truly make big money are those that can make you money without selling. Never selling is the top mindset for selecting cryptocurrencies. It doesn't mean you must never sell; if the fundamentals of a company worsen or the market assigns a particularly high price in the future, of course, you can sell. But don't proactively predict that the market will give a high price in the future; selling is just a reactive approach after the fact, not the original intention of buying. We should select cryptocurrencies with a long-term holding mindset; only by doing so can we minimize risks beforehand. When you don't rely on selling to make money, you won't buy junk cryptocurrencies or overvalued cryptocurrencies. Instead, you'll buy companies that you truly understand, truly believe in, and have high intrinsic returns. The games of hot potato in the market don't affect you at all; this is the true beginning of making real money in the crypto stock market. Most people lose money trading cryptocurrencies because of their mindset. It's not because of the market or personal ability, but because of incorrect thinking; in simple terms, they lack a long-term perspective. If you use a long-term mindset to choose a cryptocurrency, requiring that you cannot sell after buying and must hold forever, think from their perspective: which cryptocurrency would you choose? Will the cryptocurrency you hold with a never-sell mindset make a profit or a loss after 10 years? Most people believe that the cryptocurrency they hold for 10 years will make money, and with dividends included, the returns could be even more impressive.

The end of wealth is compound interest, and the trump card is stop-loss. Great experts have a single-minded focus: find what works and repeat it. That is compound interest. Compound interest has a dual nature, the same face as both angel and devil. The truth about compound interest: it is the eighth wonder of the world; the second part is, those who understand profit from it, those who don’t bear it. Compound interest is not a neutral mathematical formula; it has a stance. It amplifies intelligence and stupidity; it amplifies freedom and enslavement. Admit your mediocrity, then crazily copy. Most innovations in the world are a dead end (some say 99%), only copying is the way out. The biggest flaw of many people is doing something right once, then turning around to find the next “hot spot,” which is utterly foolish. Buffett found the set of value investing, then repeated it for a lifetime. Strictly speaking: Buffett is a master of compound interest in equity value investing, and Livermore is a master of stock trading. Looking at today’s big shots, they all hit on one point and then cultivated it for many years. Compound interest sounds like a financial term, but it’s actually a simple trick. You don’t need to think much, but you must put your heart into it. The so-called compound interest is not about putting money in the bank to earn interest; it’s about in your lifetime, once you discover a certain action, a certain product, a certain speech pattern, or a certain thing, as long as it can bring positive feedback and make a dollar, no matter how small, you must repeat it to death. Immediately, right now, without hesitation, repeat it. Don’t change it, don’t try to optimize it smartly; copy it exactly as it is. Do this action a thousand times, ten thousand times. Talent is the poor man’s shame, but repetition is wealth.

Enso has been a coin transitioning from Web2 to Web3 these past two days. At the same time, the trading time points are at 6-7 AM and 6-7 PM in China, with significant opportunities for early buy-in and price surges. mp4 Hyper and Aster's next-generation decentralized exchanges have already reached resistance levels during their rebounds. I'm not optimistic and still prefer to short on rallies. mp4 KAIA's first wave with massive volume can be entered at the resistance level, but it's just a watch. It's best to short at high levels. mp4

Money issues are not about miscalculating accounts, but about not seeing yourself clearly. The majority of people's financial difficulties are not due to lack of effort or information asymmetry, but rather some long-standing psychological misconceptions that are often overlooked. Some mindsets will help you win in the long run; others will cause you to be eliminated sooner or later. 1. Stay humble in good times and understanding in bad times. Any outcome is a mixture of ability, effort, luck, and environment. When things go smoothly, overconfidence can lead you to misjudge risks; when things turn worse, excessive self-blame can cause you to make even worse decisions. Recognizing the existence of luck and risk is not pessimism, but maturity. It can help you make fewer emotional judgments and focus your energy on what you can truly control. 2. The less vanity, the more wealth. The most important part of wealth is often the part others cannot see. How much you can save depends on your income, but even more on how strong your impulse to "prove yourself outwardly" is. When spending more is for being seen, wealth is hard to retain. True security comes from not needing to explain how successful you are. 3. Manage your finances in a way that allows you to sleep peacefully. Financial management is not a competition for returns, but a test of psychological resilience. No matter how high the returns, if they cause you long-term anxiety and frequent trading, it often ends in worse results. A good strategy must first pass one question: Can I sleep peacefully in the long run doing this? 4. Time is the most powerful variable in investing. Time can amplify small advantages or repair non-fatal mistakes. You don't need to be precise at every step, as long as you don't get caught in the wrong timing.

20260126 Analysis Notes

The Book of Changes Notes: The Great Path of the I Ching — Earth Mountain Qian. Every time a person shows off, they are overdrawing their own energy. This is not metaphysics, but the energy conservation law revealed by the Earth Mountain Qian hexagram. The law is simple: hide the high mountain within the earth. The high mountain represents what I have but you lack, including wealth, appearance, ability, achievements, and so on. The earth symbolizes the shared virtue of all beings, the equality among all, and the awareness that we should grow together. Hiding the high mountain in the earth means concealing the “self’s possessions” beneath “coexistence.” All of our “possessions” are fundamentally derived from coexistence. Earning money is a form of coexistence with clients; getting promoted is coexistence with the organization; ability is coexistence with practice; even appearance is a form of coexistence with genetics. If you do not hide, but insist on elevating your possessions above coexistence, and become arrogant and show off, you are dismantling the very foundation of “possessions.” Once this thought arises, all the energy that supplies “possessions” will immediately begin to disintegrate. First, once a person becomes arrogant, their awareness system will crash. Because they believe that their current possessions already prove their awareness is correct, and they no longer need to learn or explore, then once awareness stops, the person will lose the ability to correct errors and will run wildly along the path of complacency. They will continuously dissipate all their perceptual, insightful, and willpower in maintaining their persona, comparing, competing, defending, and doubting in the bottomless abyss. Over time, this person can no longer return to the path of coexistence and continue to generate the energy to create “possessions.” Secondly, energy disintegration also comes from external support collapsing. Because no one is willing to be looked down upon, so arrogance

20260125 Technical Analysis

The harshest truth in the financial markets — successful trading only requires patient waiting. Waiting is the most important part of trading, a component of the investment process (patiently waiting for opportunities to appear — buy; patiently waiting for opportunities to appear — sell), and can even be said to be the key to victory. It seems simple but is extremely difficult to practice. The root of all losses — fear of missing out. True hunters never chase after prey; they wait at the crossroads where the prey must pass, hold their breath, and pull the trigger at the moment of aiming. Never equate frequent operation with trading ability; the most core skill — patience in not acting. The market is never short of opportunities; what’s lacking is the patience to wait for them. “It’s the last bullet in the chamber that determines success or failure in this one shot.” Trading is like hunting; you must wait until the prey is fully within range before pulling the trigger. Even waiting one more second is better than firing blanks. The most brutal profession in the world: during wartime, snipers; in peacetime, traders. The common point is that both require extraordinary patience and composure. Snipers must endure loneliness in concealment; traders must resist impulsiveness amid volatility. How many people truly understand the value of waiting? Some want to make all the money and refuse to let go of any opportunity. In reality, “some money, even if legal, should not be earned.” Otherwise, you will find yourself unable to step back. Why can most people not patiently wait in reality? Because you want to make money too much, afraid of missing any opportunity, afraid that others profit while you don’t, afraid that after the market slips away, there will be no more chances. Driven by emotions and desires, impatient and unable to wait.

History repeatedly proves that frequent trading and emotional decisions in a bull market are often the main sources of profit loss. Many investors chase hot topics, change strategies, and ultimately find that their returns may not be better than simply holding a broad-based index fund. Investing is counterintuitive, counterhuman, and a game of human nature. The essence of investing is a process of accumulating wealth through time and cognition. Almost all returns from investing come from patience. Time is the key to investing; it is much more important than timing. In today’s modern financial markets dominated by supercomputers and quantitative models, the most powerful weapon for ordinary people is not faster reactions or more informed news, but “rational laziness” and “disciplined patience.” Compound interest, talked about by everyone, is a miracle rarely truly understood. Einstein’s famous quote that “compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world” is repeatedly cited in the investment community, but its true power is far more shocking and “unfair” than people usually imagine. Using a simple mathematical sequence reveals its cruel yet beautiful logic: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32… The key is that the absolute increase from 16 to 32 (which is 16) is just slightly larger than the sum of all previous increases.