FenerliBaba

#周末行情分析 Weekend market continues to fluctuate.
Bitcoin continues to fluctuate within the range today. Currently, on the daily chart, a short-term bottoming process has begun, and it is expected to complete the adjustment soon and rebound upward. The weekly chart shows a bullish candlestick pattern, indicating a clear upward trend. The overall major trend signals a bullish outlook. Next week’s market is still quite optimistic. Currently, on the 4-hour chart, focus on 94800; holding above this level could lead to testing 95500-96300-97100 levels. If broken downward, pay attention to support levels at 94200-93500-92800 for potential rebounds.
ETH: Ethereum’s intraday trading continues to fluctuate within the range. From the overall trend, there is still a need for short-term adjustment. The main trend remains bullish. Currently, on the 4-hour chart, focus on 3300; holding above this level could lead to testing 3350-3375-3425 levels. If broken downward, watch for support at 3275-3230-3180 for potential rebounds.
Summary: The weekend market has been volatile for two days. The overall trend has not weakened, and next week is still expected to mainly move upward, so there are no major issues.

#我的2026第一条帖 The new Federal Reserve chair is locked in! Powell takes office = Crypto bull market accelerator, dual on-chain + news-side ironclad evidence!
A single statement from Trump directly nailed down the Fed chair candidate, with Kevin Woor’s nomination probability soaring to 60%, leading the pack. This macro shift is not a positive for the crypto market but a super strong confidence booster — a new round of main upward wave is already on the horizon!
1. Core macro logic:
Woor = Crypto-friendly “Inflation Terminator”
Woor’s policy stance is practically tailor-made for the crypto market: he straightforwardly states “Inflation is the Fed’s choice,” with the core strategy being to control inflation through shrinking the balance sheet (QT), paving the way to lower nominal interest rates! This aligns perfectly with Trump’s desire to reduce borrowing costs, meaning future dollar liquidity will shift from “tight balance” to “moderate easing,” and risk assets have always been the biggest beneficiaries of liquidity.
More importantly, he opposes normalized QE and advocates for the Fed to return to its core mission. This “practical monetarism” can thoroughly repair market trust cracks in the dollar and open valuation space for crypto assets (especially Bitcoin’s “digital gold” attribute). Compared to Powell’s indecisiveness, Woor’s clear path will make institutional funds more willing to increase positions!
2. News resonance:
Global capital rushes into crypto track as regulation accelerates clarity: Although the US “Digital Asset Clarification Act” is temporarily delayed, bipartisan negotiations remain on track, and it’s inevitable that crypto assets will emerge from the gray area;
Plus Trump’s pardon of CZ and “green light” for the crypto industry, policy risks are directly cleared.
Institutions are aggressively bottom-fishing: Harvard funds treat Bitcoin ETF as their top holding, with holdings skyrocketing by 257%;
MicroStrategy continues to increase holdings, and Bitcoin ETF recently saw net capital inflows, with institutions voting with real money.
Overseas funds entering: South Korea allows companies to buy crypto with 5% of their own capital, 3,500 companies are waiting with massive funds, and this incremental capital conservatively amounts to trillions!
3. On-chain ironclad evidence: concentrated chips + liquidity buildup
Bitcoin’s non-liquid supply hits record highs, indicating large holders and institutions are locking in and holding, with chip concentration comparable to the eve of a bull market; stablecoin market cap has reached 266.5 billion, 99% anchored to the dollar and handling 94% of crypto trading volume. With Woor’s policies taking effect, stablecoin market cap is expected to surge toward one trillion, directly injecting continuous liquidity into the market;
CME institutional long positions steadily grow, with large liquidation pressure concentrated around the 110,000 level. Once broken, it will trigger over 120 million short liquidations, becoming a market booster!
Conclusion: Bullish stance, clear target!
Four major logical resonances — macro (liquidity easing) + policy (regulatory friendliness) + on-chain (chip concentration) + institutions (continuous accumulation) — crypto market has entered a “buying exceeds selling” structural bull market.
Bitcoin aims for $120,000 in the short term, Ethereum breaking $4,000 is just a matter of time, and mainstream altcoins will follow closely with a rebound!

#Gate广场创作者新春激励
The rise of DASH is a symphony of three grand narratives.
The "King of Privacy Coins" rotation: As major competitor Zcash (ZEC) faces governance controversies and turmoil, a large amount of smart capital seeking privacy features is beginning to look for new habitats. Meanwhile, the EU DAC8 tax directive officially takes effect on January 1, 2026, and global regulations are tightening on on-chain transparency, which in turn reinforces the market’s recognition of the core value of "privacy equals power." Funds flow like water, from highlands to lowlands. DASH, an established project with solid technology and community foundations, becomes the most direct beneficiary.
"Evolution" upgrade: Awakening of the sleeping giant: Short-term market enthusiasm requires long-term value anchoring. DASH’s official push for the major network upgrade "Evolution" is expected to be implemented in early 2026. This upgrade aims to thoroughly optimize user experience, enhance network scalability and usability, and is seen as a key step for DASH to redefine decentralized payments. The market’s surge is undoubtedly pricing in this milestone technological leap in advance.
Infrastructure and strategic partnerships empower: Recently, DASH has reached strategic cooperation with payment solutions like Alchemy Pay, opening fiat on/off ramps in over 173 countries worldwide. This greatly enhances its practicality and ease of adoption as "digital cash." Meanwhile, continuous optimization and resource tilt from mainstream trading platforms for DASH trading pairs have cleared obstacles for institutional funds to enter, providing deep liquidity.
Technical breakthrough: The ultimate showdown of the six-year downtrend
From a technical analysis perspective, the significance of DASH’s current surge is even more profound. The current price is directly confronting and testing a long-term downtrend resistance line formed since the 2018 all-time high, which has persisted for six years.
The wall of history: This trend line is like a fate shackle pressing down on DASH, ruthlessly suppressing every important rebound over the past six years. Each time it was touched and failed, it triggered a brutal correction of up to 95%.
Breaking the barrier: Now, with trillions of funds, new narratives, and technological upgrades, DASH is once again at the gates of battle. If the weekly or monthly closing price can confirm a successful breakout and stabilize above this trend line, it will not only signify a short-term price victory but also declare the end of a six-year bear market cycle, opening a broad space toward new all-time highs.
The road ahead: Stars and the sea, or rapids and dangerous shoals?
Standing on the high ground at $80, market attention is already focused on the next strategic target: the psychological and technical threshold of $100. Models from several top analysis institutions show that $100 is not only a common market expectation but also a critical resistance zone that DASH must overcome in the 2025-2026 cycle. Successfully breaking through this point will fully unlock the upward potential, with the mid-term target directly aiming at $125 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement level) and even higher.