Lex超哥丨宏观策略

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1.23 Market Brief: Reduced Volume Consolidation, Reversal Imminent
Market Summary
The current market is entering a high-level consolidation phase, with support below on the daily chart but heavy selling pressure above. The hourly MACD is near the zero line, indicating an unclear short-term direction; trading volume has significantly decreased, suggesting strong wait-and-see sentiment among funds, with neither bulls nor bears taking decisive action for now.
BTC Trading Strategy
Recommended Direction: Short on rallies
Entry Level: Around 90,000
Take Profit Targets: 89,200 / 88,500
Stop Loss: 90,
BTC0,62%
ETH0,51%
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1.15 Thursday Market Analysis:
1. Macro Aspect: Although the US stock and crypto sectors are rising, Bitcoin and Ethereum both showed signs of retreat after early gains, indicating significant selling pressure above and waning willingness of funds to chase higher prices.
2. News Aspect: While US PPI data has rebounded, overall inflation remains controllable. However, market expectations for rate cuts are being delayed, making it unlikely for large-scale capital inflows in the short term, and a sideways consolidation is most probable.
3. Technical Aspect (Focus): The current market trend is not
BTC0,62%
ETH0,51%
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11.19 Midday Market Analysis | BTC Short-term Bias Slightly Bullish, Beware of Profit-Taking and Pullback
Conclusion: 4H Slightly Bullish, Above Bollinger Middle Band + KDJ Golden Cross, Prioritize Low Buying; but recent multiple "good news rally followed by retracement," avoid chasing the top.
Key Levels
• Support: 86,300~85,800
• Defense: 85,500 (Weakens if broken)
• Resistance: 88,000
• Outlook: 88,800~89,500 (Requires volume increase)
Trading Suggestions (Choose one to execute)
1) Dip Buying: Buy in batches around 86,300, stop loss at 85,500; take profit at 87,600 / 88,000 (move stop l
BTC0,62%
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