MatthewDixon

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6 days until the next rate decision.
Yet another HOLD on the cards.
Dont expect any fireworks here
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On the other hand we really could go a little higher before the next #BTC & #Crypto down move - further cementing my decision to stand aside for now.
Will just enjoy the quietness for a day 😃
BTC1,38%
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We just entered my DCA short area last night which triggered a #BTC short position - now closed this morning.
The Iran situation remains volatile with risk either way for the markets so I am not taking long term positions for now.
BTC1,38%
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Still potential for a modest push higher towards 100% FIB extension labelled (hence closure of my short position)
I certainly wouldnt go long here but will await a better level for a potential #BTC short
BTC1,38%
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Some have asked, why the current focus on #BTC?
#Bitcoin is the best #crypto asset for clear #liquidity heatmaps
The BTC/USDT or BTC perpetual futures markets have the largest liquidity in crypto.
Large institutional and whale orders create visible liquidity walls that show clearly on heatmaps.
Most heatmap tools are designed around BTC first.
When liquidity is lower as is currently I am avoiding #Alts for trading, although I do still hodl a few
BTC1,38%
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#BTC is making slow progress along the path laid out.
These are the difficult trades that require a great deal of patience but liquidity is drawing the market towards that initial $BTC 62k target
BTC1,38%
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Lets see what Non Farm Payrolls have for us tomorrow?
Which response will it be?
Surprise Or Satisfaction
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Lets see what Non Farm Payrolls have for us today?
Which response will it be?
Surprise Or Satisfaction
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My #BTC expectation if this structure holds:
Dip toward $BTC 64k–$62k
Liquidity sweep
Strong move toward $78k–$82k
BTC1,38%
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Has the next #BTC decline begun?
BTC1,38%
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The Ai take on #Crypto
The moment supply can be synthetically created, scarcity is gone. And when scarcity is gone, price stops being discovered on-chain and starts being set in derivatives. That is exactly what happened to Bitcoin. And it’s the same structural break that already happened to gold, silver, oil, and equities.
Once derivatives took over the original #Bitcoin thesis is broken. Bitcoin’s valuation was built on two ideas: a hard cap of 21 million and no rehypothecation. That framework died the moment Wall Street layered this on top of the chain:
→ Cash-settled futures
→ Perpetual sw
BTC1,38%
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Wavecount for #BTC looks clear, including the internal count for wave 3 (broken down into 5 waves)
Expecting a turn lower soon - perhaps tonight
BTC1,38%
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I just post my content as a freebie - I don't monetise at all.
If you dont find the content helpful, interesting, or educational, please just unfollow.
Don't waste my time or yours by negative de-motivational posting or DM messages.
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I just post my content as a freebie - I dont monetise at all
If you dont find the content helpful, interesting or educational please just unfollow.
Dont waste my time or yours by negative demotivational posting or DM messages.
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$BTC 72k is a good upside target before the next leg down
Wave 2 is typically a deep retracement and so this level would make sense but would likely require EITHER an escalation in the Iran conflict OR some bad economic news out of US - though its too early for economic woes imo
BTC1,38%
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Im leaning back towards this interpretation for #BTC
Both very similar and both call for lower $BTC in coming days
BTC1,38%
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Nailed it again with #BTC
BTC1,38%
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I actually prefer the look of this #BTC wavecount - almost the same as the last but in this case, wave 3 is exactly 1.618 x wave 1 which is more satisfying being exactly the Golden Ratio
BTC1,38%
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Well on the way for #BTC in line with the path laid out in advance.
Isnt it AMAZING how even the geopolitical developments come into play at precisely the right time to fill the wave count given ahead of events.
Sadly, after the wave 2 $BTC correction we likely have more bad news to come
BTC1,38%
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Could not have been any closer with this #BTC forecast.
Divergence signalled the top of wave 4 and the decline that followed.
Wave 2 (lower fractal) should complete soon and then the aggressive wave 3 down should come.
IF bye see a clear wave 2 then I might consider shorting but for now I will wait and see
BTC1,38%
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CryptosTalkervip:
LFG 🔥
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