Do those believing in 4y cycles and diminishing returns also believe that, at some point, we start to deviate from it? Because if not, then $BTC chart would end up looking like this
This cycle BTC hasn't experienced volatility expansion like in prior cases, but those believing the cycle is done are targeting the same bear market outcome in terms of % and time I wouldn't say that's reasonable
There are interesting reactions on some coins here, like $ICP and $XVG, where they just slingshot to the upside and made a nice wick. Adding them to the watchlist
GM ❄️ It's overwhelming seeing the same fractal, same MAs, same scenarios over and over again across CT. I don't recall such focus on the same outcome. But I do agree it's a pivotal period here. So bulls better step up.
Bears are essentially saying the sentiment is too bullish here, so the rally will fail But activity on CT is the lowest it has been in YEARS which is not indicative of a predominant bullish positioning or thinking 🤔
There are stocks out there that don't support the notion of 2026 being a bearish year for risk on assets. I'm not a stock guy, but from the top of my mind $RXRX, $ARKG and $RIVN for example look extremely bullish on HTF. Will they be the outliers? I don't know, but it's hard to believe they'd go against the general trend.
[ $LINK ] A triangular consolidation is the best way I can count LINK's PA after it made it's first impulse in March 2023. If this count is correct, then W3 would expand well into 2027 since Wave 1 was ~280 days long (wave 3's last longer than wave 1's typically).
[ $ARKG ] Another stock pick I like. Looks like it completed accumulation and is moving out of the bullflag here. Also made a first higher high in 5 years.
[ $TAO ] Bittensor hasn't closed the weekly candle back in the range and is rejecting right there while, at the same time, finding support at the breaker from December. Local trend could be showing signs of distribution, so caution here.