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Market analysis for March 3rd, strategy sharing. Wishing brothers a Happy Lantern Festival! Are you confused about futures and spot trading? Please see the operations below.

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Main Path
“Rapid rise met with resistance → Momentum weakens → Pullback confirms rhythm”
ETH Current Structure (15m + 1H)
Completed a wave of rebound
Price rose from around 2034
Touched as high as 2107 — 2110 area
Currently pulling back to around 2070
Belongs to:
Pullback phase after encountering resistance during a rally
Not a trend reversal
Technical Structural Features:
BOLL
15m:
Rally peaks at the upper band then pulls back
Middle band flattens
Price pulls back near the middle band
A correction after strong momentum
1H:
Upper band flattens
Price falls back near the middle band
If the middle band is broken
A deeper pullback will occur
MACD
15m:
Death cross formed
Bars turn green
Short-term momentum weakens
1H:
Bars shorten
Bullish momentum diminishes
RSI
15m:
Pulls back from high levels
Enters neutral zone
1H:
Pullback in strong zone
No obvious bearish divergence
But rhythm weakens
Overall Rhythm Judgment:
End of rally → Confirmed pullback → Awaiting support
Secondary Path
Support above 2070 holds → Retry 2100
If stabilized in the 2065 — 2070 range
May form
2065 — 2090 range consolidation
If re-establishing above 2090
Market may test again
2100 — 2110
Support Levels
2065 (short-term support)
2040 (structure confirmation)
2000 (trend boundary)
Resistance Levels
2090 (short-term resistance)
2107 — 2110 (previous high pressure)
2130 (extension target)
Alternative Path
Break below 2065 → Expand pullback
If breaks below 2065
And 15m cannot quickly recover
Market may pull back
2040
If 1H breaks below 2040
Structure will shift to
High-level pullback structure
Trading Suggestions
Trend-following long positions (conditional)
Pullback to 2040 — 2065 stabilize
Signs of stopping decline appear
Consider adding to long positions gradually
Stop-loss: below 2025
Target: 2090 → 2110
Short-term short positions (currently more optimal)
Rebound from 2075 — 2090 faces resistance
Light short positions can be taken
Stop-loss: 2115
Target: 2040
Rhythm Summary
Market is in:
1H bullish momentum diminishing
15m correction dominating
Core Logic:
High-level oscillation weakening
Avoid chasing longs
Conclusion
ETH is currently in
a pullback phase after rally
2065 is a key short-term level
Holding above keeps the range
Breaking below will lead to a deeper correction structure.

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Strategy

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