萧万东

Spiritual Reversal, Shorted Bitcoin at 75500 and Cut 2500 Points
I have to say that today's timely reversal and short positioning adjustment was quite successful. In the morning session, I publicly provided Bitcoin's current price of 75500 for shorting, with a perfect take-profit target of 74000 yielding 1500 points profit. In the evening, I gave another reminder to short at 74800 and captured another 1000 points. Are you satisfied with your gains?
Don't try to eat a fish from head to tail. Even if it rebounds and stands above 75500 again later, we won't chase it anymore. Chasing at this time

Bitcoin declined as expected in the evening, touching a low around 93,300. From the four-hour structure, the pullback has not stopped yet. Key focus should be on whether 73,000 holds.
A slight rebound in the evening would allow shorting in batches at 74,300-74,800, with a target of 72,500.
Ethereum should be shorted in sync around the 2,365-2,390 zone, with a target of 2,300.

2026年3月美聯儲降息時間、幅度及影響
📅 重要時間（北京時間）
利率決議 & 政策聲明：3月19日（星期四）02:00
鮑威爾新聞發布會：3月19日（星期四）02:30
📊 市場預期：按兵不動已成定局
CME FedWatch數據顯示：
維持利率概率：99.1% 🟢
降息25BP概率：0.9% 🔴
預期轉向：受中東衝突及“破百”油價衝擊，市場已大幅下調全年降息預期，甚至有分析認為今年內僅有0-1次降息機會。
🔑 核心看點：
點陣圖（SEP）重估：這是全場焦點！
觀察美聯儲官員是否會將2026年降息預期從1月的2-3次大幅砍至1次，利率中樞可能集體上移。
兩難困境：鮑威爾如何平衡“2月非農爆冷（-9.2萬）”的衰退風險與“霍爾木茲海峽停航”帶來的二次通脹隱憂。
地緣政治定性：鮑威爾對油價飆升的容忍度，將決定美元能否站穩百元關口。
對加密貨幣市場的影響：決議後1～4小時（真正趨勢出來）
只看鮑威爾的講話，比利率本身更重要
鴿派：繼續漲
鷹派：繼續跌
中性：震盪
#比特币站上7.5万美元

Tuesday Afternoon Market Analysis: Switching to Short Positions
First, let me explain why we're switching to shorts at this moment. First, the Federal Reserve is about to announce its interest rate decision, and it's virtually certain that rates won't be cut—this represents bad news. When the decision comes, panic sentiment will trigger capital flight and selling pressure. Major players and institutions won't keep lifting retail traders or letting everyone profit. When others are greedy, you must be fearful—you need to understand this principle.
Second, Bitcoin has rebounded from 60,000 to 76,

Bitcoin 75563 short position, perfectly captured 1200 points on the short term. I told you to go long but you didn't listen, I told you to go short but you didn't dare. So what more can I do?
This market isn't just free money to pick up. From yesterday's long position looking at 76000, to today's short position targeting 74000, can a 5000-point profit opportunity help you recover your losses?
I've always been here, those who understand know what I mean.

3.5wu的第5天
目标計劃15wu
當前倉位：5.94萬u
持倉：大餅空單
持倉量：5個
開倉價：75563

76000可能會遲到，但永遠不會缺席，
昨天公開提示給出的現價單已經到達預期，大餅72550做多，75961下車，順勢狂砍3400點，神準狙擊，驚嘆全網。
我說3.19降息之前會大漲你不聽，我說讓你做多還是不聽，我說我們76000見你終於接受現實，忠言逆耳利於行！
看漲做多不是說說而已，知行合一才是最關鍵的，這段時間以來，我們把做多貫徹到底，即使遇上了黑色星期五也沒有動搖堅定看漲的思路，從7萬到7.6萬，6000點的漲幅，夠不夠你們吃的？
現階段我將謹慎對待，不再執著追高，因為臨近降息了，今天的思路簡單說一下，75500-75800區域輕倉做空，目標先看74000，美盤節點看情況考慮做多。#比特币突破7.5万美元

I appreciate you sharing this content, but I notice this is already in Traditional Chinese. According to my instructions, when text is already in the target language, I should return it exactly the same unchanged.
Here is the text returned as-is:
答应我，做多好吗？
别头铁，这行情真的还要涨
你看看我的止盈位知道了
我不是个随便愿意熬夜的人
今晚还有一波大的
我在这个圈子待了七年
难道还不知道狗庄的尿性#加密市场上涨

If you don't have your own logical thinking, why trade crypto at all? The long positions I publicly provided today are still holding. I've said I'll stand with my brothers. Although profits have been given back somewhat, it doesn't affect my mood at all. Tonight I'm arranging a welfare giveaway for you all and drawing prizes. For those who like + follow + comment, I'll randomly select ten spots to provide free signals daily, exclusively for users trading on this platform. Short-term trading as the main strategy, swing trading as supplementary. This week's target is 1-2x returns.

Seeing everyone waiting for the waterfall, I know going long is stable. After midnight tonight, the bears are destined to wail. Tonight won't be like last Friday where it pumps and then dumps hard. That's all I'll say, wishing everyone smooth sailing #加密市场上涨

When others are greedy, I am fearful; when others are fearful, I am greedy. This kind of slow rise with one step back is accumulation. Any pullback is an opportunity to go long, I hope you understand the principle of breaking through and establishing. See you at 76000 tonight #加密市场上涨

何其有幸，在大家的見證下一起進行翻倉計畫，3.5萬u的本金，目前5.2萬u，四筆交易吃了1.7萬u，每天的單子都是全網公開，近期的狀態你們懂的，我的交易理念，風控第一，穩健為王！#加密市场上涨

比特幣從日線結構上來看，一旦形成圓弧底，那麼我說大概率要去80000附近你們不會罵我吧？#加密市场上涨

打開格局，74000 只是半山腰，破位了上方空間起碼還有三五千點

3.5wu的第4天
目標計劃15wu
當前倉位：5.21萬u
持倉：大餅多單
持倉量：2個
開倉價：72557

Monday, sunny and pleasant, long positions remain unbeatable
Everything proceeded as I outlined in yesterday's analysis. Monday saw Bitcoin open higher, with big coins surging 2000 points on long positions. Those who followed the strategy and entered at 71000 also captured this substantial gain. Ethereum simultaneously captured 100 points of movement. Doesn't it feel great to take profits right after opening your eyes? March is the season of spring blossoms and warm weather, and it's also the beginning of when we accumulate positions and buy the dip for future market performance.
Regardless of

星期日，比特幣 以太坊 下週趨勢淺談
經過黑色星期五之後，大餅目前在71700附近震盪蓄力，簡單說一下我個人對下週行情走勢的解析。
3.19美聯儲利率決議公布，在此之前我在本週的文章中提過，這種重要的數據行情公布之前都會有上漲，前高74000區域非常關鍵，此次我非常看好會突破，至於會反彈到哪裡止步，這個有待觀察，在此之前就要做多。
等到數據消化落地之後無論行情拉得多高都不要再追了，利好落地就是利空，回顧前幾次的降息後都是大跌，且是趨勢下行，這個時候就是我們布局長線空的絕佳時機，輕倉進場，預留倉位，吃個5000-8000點沒問題。
日線結構呈階梯式上漲，急漲是洗盤，慢漲就是趨勢，所以我預計明天周一會高開繼續上揚，今晚的思路就是參考71000之上卡點做多，目標還是先看74000附近，一旦突破，上方空間起碼三五千點。
以太坊同步大餅的思路，參考2100之上做多，先看2200一帶，這輪反彈甚至有可能去到2600附近，也就是剛好到達周K的上方阻力位，思路給出就看大家能不能拿得住，何時布局長線空我會第一時間更新提示，關注我，一起遨遊幣圈。

Saturday, Double Top at 74000 Emerging, Trade Cautiously
Found the reason for Bitcoin's plunge last night—the U.S. military deployed Marines to the Middle East conflict, triggering panic across global financial markets, causing both gold and crypto to crash simultaneously, truly a bloodbath.
The market sentiment had been improving ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision, but then the U.S. threw a bucket of cold water on everyone. This forces me to reassess the market outlook going forward. Destruction before reconstruction, breaking before establishing.
The 74000 level has formed a