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2026-03-25
00:02

今日CME「Fed Watch」:4月に金利を据え置く確率は90.7%

Gate News, on March 25, CME "Fed Watch" data shows: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 9.3%, with a probability of maintaining the current rate at 90.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates cumulatively by 25 basis points through June is 17.1%, with a probability of maintaining the current rate at 80.2%.
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00:01

CMEデータ:米連邦準備制度理事会が4月に金利を据え置く確率は92.8%

Gate News Report: On March 24, according to CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 7.2%, with a probability of maintaining rates unchanged at 92.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points through June is 9.1%, with a cumulative rate increase of 50 basis points at 0.2% probability, and a probability of maintaining rates unchanged at 90.7%.
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04:00

Xinda Futures: Rising Energy Prices Constrain Interest Rate Expectations, Gold Faces Short-term Pressure

Xinda Futures Research points out that gold price movements are affected by rising energy prices and interest rate expectations. The Middle East conflict has driven crude oil to elevated levels, exacerbating market inflation concerns and suppressing gold prices. The market expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged, but Powell's assessment will influence subsequent policy decisions.
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18:01

この会議での金利据え置きの確率は98.9%です

Gate News reports that as of March 18, according to CME "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at this meeting is 0%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 98.9%, and the probability of raising rates by 25 basis points is 1.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by April is 2.0%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 96.9%, and the probability of raising rates by 25 basis points is 1.0%. By June, the probability of cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points is 16.3%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 82.5%, and the probability of raising rates by 25 basis points is 0.9%.
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18:00

バンク・オブ・アメリカの調査:機関投資家の新興市場株式の保有高が2021年2月以来の最高水準に

Market analyst Jared Blikre points out that a global fund manager survey released by Bank of America shows that large institutional investors have increased their positions in emerging market equities and commodities, while reducing their US dollar holdings. Powell's remarks have a significant impact on market trends; if the US dollar index breaks through 100, it will increase investment pressure, while the opposite would help emerging market development.
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