On March 4, 2026, from 15:15 to 15:30 (UTC), ETH achieved a +2.38% return within 15 minutes, with a price range of $2,088.93 to $2,144.20 USDT and an amplitude of 2.65%. Trading volume significantly increased in a short period, market attention heightened, volatility intensified, and funds rapidly flowed into mainstream assets, leading to a noticeable rise in short-term activity.
The main drivers of this movement are the inflow of global macro risk-averse capital and continuous net inflows into ETF institutions. Escalating geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East directed funds toward gold and cryptocurrencies, with ETH and BTC, as mainstream assets, attracting synchronized capital attention. Over the past year, ETH spot ETF net inflows reached up to $12.23 billion, and ETF liquidity has continued to grow since early March, with institutional funds accelerating allocations, pushing prices through key resistance levels.
Meanwhile, on-chain whale accounts showed concentrated buying after a correction, resonating with ETF capital inflows and further amplifying short-term capital effects. The overall crypto market is in a recovery phase, with multiple tokens rebounding in unison. The Fear & Greed Index has risen from 10, indicating increased market risk appetite. ETH futures open interest remains low leverage and low liquidation volume, with capital favoring spot and ETF allocations. Liquidity and order book depth are improving in tandem.
Caution is advised regarding current market volatility risks, as geopolitical influences, macroeconomic factors, and regulatory changes could trigger sharp short-term fluctuations. Ongoing monitoring of ETH key support and resistance levels, on-chain capital flows, ETF net inflows, and market sentiment indicators is essential. Due to heightened short-term risks, it is recommended to closely follow real-time market data and on-chain fund movements.
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