Research: 84% of traders on Polymarket are currently losing money

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Prediction Market On-Chain Data Industry Reports

2026-04-07 03:12:22

Gate News message, April 7, independent on-chain analyst Andrey Sergeenkov’s latest research found that 84.1% of traders on Polymarket are in a losing position. The report analyzed 2.5 million wallet addresses. Over the past year, only 2% of traders on the platform have accumulated profits exceeding $1,000, and only 0.033% (840 addresses) have traders who have reached profits of $100k. The study also found that among 6,600 traders with average monthly profits exceeding $5,000, only 2.6% have remained consistently active for more than a year. The report noted that most traders leave the platform after trading there for a period of time.

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