When the "Old Map" No Longer Applies: A Review of 8 "Failing Classic Cryptocurrency Indicators"
Author: Frank, PANews
In early 2026, the cryptocurrency market is filled with a sense of frustration and confusion. Bitcoin has retraced approximately 36% from its all-time high set in October 2025, and the market is swinging back and forth between bulls and bears. But what’s causing more unease among crypto investors isn’t just the price itself, but the fact that their traditional indicator systems used to gauge market positions have almost all failed.
The S2F model’s $500,000 prediction has deviated by more than three times from reality. The four-year cycle has been delayed after the halving, with no explosive rally in sight. The Pi Cycle Top indicator has remained silent throughout the entire cycle. The fixed threshold of the MVRV Z-Score no longer triggers signals, and the top zone of the rainbow chart has become unreachable. Meanwhile, the contrarian signals of the Fear and Greed Index repeatedly prove unreliable, and the highly anticipated “altcoin season” has yet to arrive.
Why have these indicators collectively failed? The answer
BTC-2,08%
区块客·02-22 14:00

