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📒 Trading Notes | Market Rhythm Summary
1. BTC Major Trend
• Still in a bear market structure
• Monthly MA20 broken downward
• Bearish structure confirmed
• Four-year cycle perspective still valid
👉 Rebound ≠ Reversal
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2. Structural Analysis
First Wave
107500 → 80000
Rebound to 98000
Complete first downward structure
Second Wave (Current)
60000 → 72000
Pullback to 70000 sideways consolidation
👉 Belongs to a rebound phase within a downtrend
Forecast:
After the rebound completes,
a third wave of decline may begin within 1–2 months
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3. Short-term Strategy
Range: 65000–75000
Operational I