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【Madman Says Trends】 Bitcoin support looks at $85,000 to $86,000, with a high probability of ultimately breaking down
This wave of cryptocurrencies is really disastrous. When the US stock market rises, it doesn't follow at all. When the US stock market falls, it doesn't rebound at all. Bitcoin daily chart has dropped back from 97,000. Currently, the support at $85,000 to $86,000 still seems to hold, but given the current situation, the probability of ultimately breaking through is still very high.

Since the approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs in early 2024, institutional funds have continued to pour into the market. The latest data shows that by mid-January 2026, the cumulative net inflow of US Bitcoin spot ETFs has reached hundreds of billions of dollars, with approximately billion dollars in fund inflows just in the past week.
This indicates that the traditional financial system has officially accepted Bitcoin as an asset class and has successfully addressed institutional concerns regarding compliance, custody, and processes.

Pursuing more, or learning to be content?
In the world of investing and financial management, we often hear "work harder," "be more proactive," "earn more." Investors keep increasing leverage and taking on higher risks until the market crashes; professionals chase promotions and income, only to find that health and family have already been seriously affected.
This naturally makes us think: is the ultimate goal of financial management really "the more, the better"?
In fact, the most important word in the world of money is not "return rate," but—"enough (Enough)."

Barrpn Weekly (Barrpn"s) Columnist Jurica Dujmovic points out that in the artificial intelligence (AI), cryptocurrency, and technology markets, the speculation phase has ended. We are now entering an era of "stress testing": by 2026, investors in these fields will no longer focus solely on themes and narratives, but will begin to truly emphasize a company's profitability, regulatory compliance, and actual operational results.

Bitcoin broke through a new high of 126,000 USD on October 6, 2025, then retreated about 30%. From the latest market trend, the release of US CPI data shows inflation easing, which helps to further boost market expectations of interest rate cuts. Encouraged by this, the crypto market experienced a short-term rebound, with Bitcoin once surpassing 97,860 USD, hitting a recent high. Peng Yunxian, founder of the cryptocurrency exchange HOYA BIT, analyzed that this wave of market movement is essentially a dual overlay of "rising expectations of rate cuts" and "macro hedging demand."
Peng Yunxian st

There is new progress in the legislation of the U.S. "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act." Two committees under the Senate will discuss the "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act" respectively this Thursday and at the end of the month. This has driven Bitcoin to break through $97,000 on Wednesday (14th), reaching a two-month high; Ethereum also rose back above $3,300. Blockchain technology consultant Li Sichong also told Sing Tao Headlines that as U.S. regulations gradually take effect and financial institutions actively enter the market, coupled with political instability in Venezuela and Iran

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a long-awaited rally. Bitcoin surged strongly today (14th), with Binance's price briefly reaching $97,000, hitting the highest level in nearly two months. As key resistance levels were decisively broken, a "short squeeze" scenario unfolded in the market, causing previously bearish speculators to bleed heavily.
CoinGlass data shows that over the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency futures market has seen over $685 million in liquidations, with short positions accounting for $598 million. Most of these liquidations occurred after Bitcoin broke through $94,

Currently, the total assets under management (AUM) of global crypto funds remain stable at around $210 billion; although it has not yet returned to the peak of $254 billion in October last year, market sentiment has shifted to cautious optimism.
Analysts say that Bitcoin's current technical resistance level is set at $98,000. If a breakout with volume occurs, it is expected to challenge the $100,000 mark in the first quarter. Investors are closely watching the non-farm payroll (NFP) data to be released this Friday, as it will directly impact the USD trend and the valuation relationship of digi

When a country's fiat currency collapses, people will find their own way out. In Venezuela and Iran, this way out is the stablecoin USDT. However, the same tool is also being used by sanctioned entities to circumvent international restrictions, highlighting the contradictory role of stablecoins in the global financial system.

The situation is nearing the end. Based on ETF capital flows, futures market positions, and overall risk sentiment changes, the risk-off behavior that dominated the market at the end of last year has shown clear signs of slowing down. The market is gradually entering a consolidation and stabilization phase rather than embarking on a new downward trend.
Risk-off intensifies at year-end, ETF funds clearly withdraw
JPMorgan Chase pointed out that during Q4 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced significant selling pressure. Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs saw large outflows of funds in Decemb

Experts: Large Institutions Still Not Fully Entering the Market
Ferraioli further pointed out that currently, ETF funds mainly come from financial advisors and some institutional investors, while pension funds and large conservative asset management firms are still on the sidelines. As long as the regulatory environment becomes clearer, the potential incremental capital scale still has room for imagination.
On the other hand, Gerry O’Shea, Head of Global Market Analysis at Hashdex, believes that if there is a shift in U.S. monetary policy (such as a rate cut expectation) or progress in cryptoc

Market narratives often jump directly to "everyone will issue their own stablecoin." But this outcome is not reasonable. A world with dozens of widely used stablecoins is still manageable, but if there are thousands, chaos will ensue. Users do not want their US dollars ( to be, yes, US dollars, with a dominance exceeding 99%), dispersed across a long tail of numerous branded tokens, each on its own chain, with different liquidity, fees, and exchange paths. Market makers profit from spreads, and cross-chain bridges charge fees—this layered "taking a share" of the middlemen is precisely the prob

Compared to the previous bull market, project teams have significantly reduced their budget investments in market makers. "Data shows that this year, some projects have even cut their Token budgets by 50% compared to the last cycle," said Vicent, Chief Information Officer of Kronos Labs.
But this is not just a matter of "budget cuts"; a deeper driving force comes from the evolution of the (project team) mindset.
Project teams have greatly improved their understanding of market-making business. They are beginning to understand the profit margins of market makers, no longer satisfied with vague

The activity of derivative positions significantly amplified this price increase. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation exceeded $260 million. Among them, short positions accounted for approximately $200 million, indicating that as the price was driven up, short sellers were forced to liquidate. In just 4 hours, over $121 million of short positions were forcibly liquidated.

India Sri Dharmasthala Manjunatheshwara College Business School Scholar S. Muruganandan published in the Colombo Business Journal, using the India Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex index as the research subject. The study collected historical data from February 2000 to May 2018, covering multiple bull markets, bear markets, and consolidation periods, to examine the actual profitability of two of the most common technical indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
RSI performance is completely overshadowed, unable to create stable advantages in

Internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve, rate policy still uncertain
The latest meeting minutes released by the Federal Reserve show that even though officials have decided to cut interest rates, there are still clear divisions within the Fed regarding whether to continue adjusting rates afterward. Some decision-makers believe that after the December adjustment, interest rates may need to remain unchanged for a period to observe changes in economic data.
At the same time, according to the CME FedWatch tool, investors currently expect an over 80% probability that the Federal Reserve w

Bitcoin reached a historic high of over $125,000 in early October 2025, and has since fallen more than 30%. Due to the continued price slump in recent weeks, market speculation about a new "crypto winter" has been triggered.
Since 2011, the Bitcoin market has experienced four downturns where it fell from all-time highs to cycle lows.
The team at financial services giant Cantor pointed out this week: "Due to fears of the 'four-year cycle' and macroeconomic influences, the cryptocurrency market seems to be entering its first year of decline since 2022."
While the Cantor team remains optimistic a

As Bitcoin faces downward pressure within the year and company stock prices decline in tandem, Bitcoin giant Strategy (MSTR-US) led by Michael Saylor has once again chosen to increase its holdings against the trend. According to documents filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Strategy purchased 1,229 Bitcoins between December 22 and 28, with a total amount of approximately $108.8 million, at an average purchase price of $88,568 per Bitcoin.

In 2025, Bitcoin underperformed compared to gold and US stocks, drawing market attention. Crypto KOL XinGPT analyzed that the explosion of AI generative artificial intelligence has抢夺 the global electricity and computing resources, with the marginal收益 of each kilowatt-hour used for AI training temporarily surpassing Bitcoin mining; gold, on the other hand, provides "atomic-level certainty" due to geopolitical uncertainties; and the widespread adoption of Bitcoin ETFs has also led to its volatility being smoothed out. He believes that when AI's marginal efficiency declines and capital liquidity

Digital Decay: Even Veterans Can Be Betrayed by Time
Facing seasoned traders who have experienced multiple bull and bear markets, Howells issues a warning about "Digital Decay." He points out that wallets created between 2013 and 2015, if not regularly tested for recovery, could have assets permanently locked due to hard drive aging or software format updates. He recommends investors follow the "3-2-1 Backup" rule—three copies, two types of media, one offline—and regularly verify whether the mnemonic phrase can fully restore the assets.
This warning is not unfounded. Howells' 8,000 Bitcoins, b